Carl Arredondo: September 2007 Archives

A front is coming late Thursday night/early Friday morning. Drier air will move in during the afternoon Friday and over the weekend. Rain chances will be 30% Thursday and 20% Thursday night/Friday morning.

TD #13 will not affect the U.S. and will strengthen to TS Lorenzo. This system will move into Mexico on Friday. TS Karen may not intensify further, but will remain in the Atlantic.

Another area is being watched along and ...

>> Continue reading: Front Coming/Tropics

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TD #13 is located about 165 miles ese of Tampico, MX moving west at 5 mph. Max winds are 30 mph. Some slow strengthening is possible and could become TS Lorenzo over the next 24 hours. It is no threat to Louisiana or any U.S. Coast.

TS Karen is located 1355 miles east of the Lesser Antilles moving wnw at 14 mph. Further strengthening is possible and at this time, it appears that Karen will remain over open water through the ...

>> Continue reading: 10pm Update on TD 13/TS Karen

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TD #13 forms in the SW Gulf of Mexico about 190 miles east of Tampico, Mexico. This system is no threat to us in Louisiana. It will slowly drift to the sw, but could strengthen to Lorenzo on Wednesday.

TS Karen will slowly strengthen well east of the Lesser Antilles, but it appears that this storm will stay out in the Atlantic Ocean and not bother any land area.

All tropical info on our hurricane page at wwltv.com

>> Continue reading: New Tropical Depression #13

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TD #12 forms 1700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles at 10.1N 36.2W. Winds are 35 mph and it is moving wnw at 16 mph. This system may turn more to the northwest and stay out in the Atlantic.

We are also watching a disturbance in the sw Gulf of Mexico and over the northern Lesser Antilles. Both these also can develop. The next names on the list are Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa.

>> Continue reading: TD #12 Forms

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There is still rain possible going to the Dome this evening. Some downpours still possible.

Three systems being watched in the tropics. One in the SW Gulf of Mexico and two in the Atlantic Ocean. All three can become depressions during the next day or two. We also still have Tropical Depression Jerry in the North Atlantic. The next names on the list are Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa.

>> Continue reading: Tropics Getting Busy/Saints

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At 10pm, the last advisory was issued on TD #10 located about 10 miles NE of Pensacola, FL at 30.6N 87.1W. Movement was to the NW at 9 mph with sustained winds of 30 mph.

All Tropical Storm Warnings and the Coastal Flood watch have been dropped.

Saturday's weather can be found on the Detailed forecast link.

>> Continue reading: Final Advisory on TD #10

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TD #10 makes landfall near Ft. Walton Beach, FL.

>> Continue reading: Tropical Depression #10

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#10 is located at 29.9N 86.4W or 45 miles wsw of Panama City, FL or 202 miles ese of Slidell, LA. #10 is moving wnw at 9 mph with sustained winds of 35 mph. This could become Tropical Storm Jerry this evening before it makes landfall near the AL/FL border.

SE Louisiana and coastal MS could experience tropical storm force winds beginning at daybreak Saturday and continuing through the day, winds of 40-45 mph. Rainfall amounts of 2-4"...

>> Continue reading: 4pm TD #10

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A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from the MS/AL coast through Terrebonne parish, including Lakes Pontchartrain/Maurepas until Saturday evening. Tides will run Friday 1-2' above normal and on Saturday 2-3' above normal.

The disturbance is still not very organized. The upper low is still playing a part in the slow development of this system today. Also dry air has been drawn in today as well. This is an example that it doesn't matt...

>> Continue reading: 10pm Tropical Update/Coastal Flood Watch

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A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from the MS/AL coast through Terrebonne parish, including Lakes Pontchartrain/Maurepas until Saturday evening. Tides will run Friday 1-2' above normal and on Saturday 2-3' above normal.

The Hurricane Hunter flew through the disturbance and did not find an organized tropical system. This area still could become a tropical or sub-tropical storm. Computer models still bring this system to the coast an...

>> Continue reading: Coastal Flood Watch

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AT 3PM, A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOUND A BROAD CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 115 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA. THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS YET THAT THE LOW HAS BEGUN TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER....

>> Continue reading: 3pm Disturbance update

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It still appears that a surface low has moved inland north of Cape Canaveral. Some of the models have grabbed on to this low as the initial starting point. While another spin was indicated Wednesday of the SW coast of Florida and some of the models grabbed on to this location as the initial starting point. Until a clear cut center point has developed, the models don't know where to take a system that hasn't developed yet.

S...

>> Continue reading: 10pm Tropical Discussion

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This afternoon a couple of weak spins are noticed on satellite images. One off the SW coast of Florida in the eastern Gulf and the other off the coast of Daytona Beach in the Atlantic Ocean.

Computer models are still all over the place due to the lack of a starting point or organized system. The system may start to develop overnight or Thursday morning, then the models will have a starting point to focus on. Interests along t...

>> Continue reading: Tropical Disturbance

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Late evening model runs show the uncertainty of where the disturbance will go. Some have it along the Eastern U.S., Panhandle of FL, SE Louisiana, Upper Texas coast,and towards Brownsville. If development happens, it will not be until Thursday when the system enters the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned to wwltv.com and Eyewitness News for the latest.

>> Continue reading: Models uncertain on Disturbance

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A tropical disturbance over the Bahamas could possibly develop over the next 2-3 days and pose a threat to the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico coast. We will have to watch this system closely for some impact to us by Friday or Saturday of this week.

Stay tuned to WWL-TV, WWLTV.COM, and My 54 for further information.

>> Continue reading: Disturbance

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It will be a bit more humid Tuesday thanks to an easterly flow off the Gulf. Any chance for rain will be around 10% mainly along coastal areas.

A tropical wave is expected to move into the Gulf on Thursday from Florida and increase our chance for rain on Friday and especially Saturday & Sunday. Some computer models have the wave developing into a tropical system, but whether it develops or not, it appears that it would travel from ...

>> Continue reading: Bit More Humid

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Once the front comes through Saturday morning, drier air will filter in during the afternoon Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the mid 80's both days, but less humid.

Lows Sunday and Monday morning will be in the lower 60's north of the lake and upper 60's to lower 70's south of the lake.

10pm Friday Ingrid is barely holding on to Tropical Storm strength with winds of 40 mph. Ingrid is located 655 miles east of the...

>> Continue reading: Weekend/Ingrid

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Ingrid is having a hard time sustaining tropical storm strength. Ingrid is located at 15.6N 50.6W or 710 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Movement is NW at 8 mph with sustained winds of 40 mph. Ingrid is expected to continue to weaken due to shearing.

A front will be coming through Saturday morning, so rain chance will be 20% overnight and Saturday morning. Drier air will move in during the day Saturday and Sunday.

>> Continue reading: 4pm Update on Ingrid/Weekend Weather

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Tropical Depression Humberto is located at 31.8N 91.5W or 15 miles NW of Natchez. Winds are 25 mph and it is moving NE at 12 mph.

Tropical Storm Ingrid has developed 840 miles E of the Lesser Antilles at 14.7N 48.7W. Winds are 40 mph and Ingrid is moving W/NW at 6 mph.

Flood Watch continues until 7am Friday morning. 50% chance for scattered showers or thunderstorms developing through Friday. Some of the rain may be heavy....

>> Continue reading: Ingrid & Humberto 10pm Update

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At 4pm Tropical Depression Humberto was located 10 miles NW of Alexandria at 31.4N 92.6W. Winds are at 35 mph and Humberto is moving to the NE at 12 mph.

Because of the rain threat, a Flood Watch is in effect until 7am Friday morning. Still a 60% chance for scattered thunderstorms after 6pm tonight.

Tropical Depression 8 is located 865 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and doesn't show signs of rapid development. 8 is loca...

>> Continue reading: Flood Watch 7am/Tropical Update

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Humberto at 10pm has sustained winds of 65 mph and could possibly reach hurricane force before making landfall. 29.0N 94.6W or about 20 miles SSE of Galveston moving NNE at 6mph. Heavy rain of 5-15" is possible.

We in SE Louisiana may get heavy rain/thunderstorms Thursday and Friday due to Humberto's moisture.

T.D. #8 may strengthen on Thursday to T.S. Ingrid. See our Hurricane page for more information.

>> Continue reading: 10pm Humberto strengthens

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At 4pm, T.S. Humberto is located 50 miles south of Galveston moving north at 7 mph. It is located at 28.6N 94.9W with sustained winds at 50 mph. Humberto may strengthen slightly before making landfall. Very heavy rain is the biggest threat with 5-15" possible.

T.D. #8 is located just over 1000 miles from the Lesser Antilles at 13.5N 45.5W moving w/nw at 12 mph. Sustained winds are at 35 mph. This system will likely become I...

>> Continue reading: 4pm Tropical Update

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Spotty thunderstorms still possible overnight. Rainfall amounts of 1.46" at Audubon and Holy Name of Jesus School in Uptown. 1.40" in River Ridge and 1.00" at St Matthews School in River Ridge. 1.66 at Lakefront Airport and .86" at Christian Brothers School in City Park.

>> Continue reading: Spotty T'storms Overnight

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Heavy thunderstorms moving into Jefferson & Orleans parishes during the 3pm hours may produce enough downpours for street flooding.

Rain & thunderstorms will be more likely the next 3 days.

>> Continue reading: Downpours Likely during 3pm to 4:30pm

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Tropical Depression Gabrielle continues to weaken and move away from the East Coast. See our Hurricane Page for more info. Another disturbance halfway between Africa & Windward Islands could develop the next couple of days.

T'Storms will continue to develop this week. Rain chances 50% for Tue and 60% for Wed - Fri.

>> Continue reading: Gabrielle Weakening/Wet Week

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At 10pm, SubTropical Storm Gabrielle was located at 30.4N 72.2W or 385 miles southeast of Cape Lookout, NC moving to the west-northwest at 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 45 mph. Interests along the mid-Atlantic seaboard need to pay attention to a landfall on Sunday.

>> Continue reading: 10pm SubTropical Storm Gabrielle

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An amazing account of what could have been the loss of a Hurricane Hunter plane in trouble while flying through Category 5 Hugo in 1989.

Scary Hugo Mission

>> Continue reading: Amazing Story of Hurricane Hunter in Hugo 1989

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Click on the blog to see report of a Hurricane Hunter Mission flying through Felix when it was a category 5 hurricane.

>> Continue reading: Report from Hurricane Hunter Mission through Category 5 Felix

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Rain chances for Friday going back up to scattered (50%). Some thunderstorms may be heavy. Highs will be in the upper 80's to low 90's.

Area of low pressure off southeastern U.S. still being monitored for tropical or subtropical development.

>> Continue reading: Rain Chances Going Back Up!

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A Hurricane Hunter flew into the non tropical low pressure area off the Southeastern coast and did not find a tropical system or a subtropical system yet. Upper level winds are not that favorable yet, but could become so in a day or so. Interest along the Eastern seaboard need to watch this system.

Thursday should have a few afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Rain chances about 40% with highs in the lower 90's.

>> Continue reading: Thursday Weather/Tropics

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At 10pm, Tropical Storm Felix is located at 14.1N 85.7W with winds of 50mph. Felix is moving west at 12 mph. Heavy rains, mudslides, and flooding will be the main threat over Central America.

Expect a 40% chance for afternoon showers or thunderstorms on Wednesday. Highs will be in the lower 90's.

>> Continue reading: Felix Continues to Weaken: 10pm Update

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At 4pm, Hurricane Felix is located at 14.2N 85.0W or 110 miles west Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua. Felix is a category 1 hurricane with winds of 75 mph. Movement is west at 14 mph. Heavy rainfall will be the problem now causing mudslides and flooding. Rainfall amounts could total 20-25" in some area of Central America.

>> Continue reading: Felix Weakening

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At 10pm, Hurricane Felix is located 145 miles east/southeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios at 14.4N 81.1W. Winds are at 135 mph still a strong category 4 hurricane moving west at 20 mph.

Felix will come onshore around daybreak near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras and continue inland. Felix may stay over land and continue to weaken.

Scattered thunderstorms expected for Tuesday again with highs around 90.

>> Continue reading: 10pm Felix Update/Tuesday Weather

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At 4pm, Felix is located at 14.3N 79.5W or 250 miles east of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Maximum sustained winds are 145 mph, a category 4 hurricane still moving west now at 20 mph.

Felix will stay well south of the Gulf of Mexico and is no threat to Louisiana.

>> Continue reading: 4pm Hurricane Felix

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Hurricane Felix is now a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 145 mph about 300 miles east of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. It is at 14.2N 78.7W moving west at 21 mph. Winds are down to 145 mph.

>> Continue reading: Felix weakens some...

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AT 7:00 AM THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH OF SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARUBA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL BE PASSING JUST NORTH OF ARUBA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND INTO THE OPEN WATE...

>> Continue reading: 7am Hurricane Felix

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THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GRENADA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH. ALL COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE FELIX TOWARDS CENTRAL AMERICA OR THE YUCATAN PENISULA.

>> Continue reading: 7am Tropical Storm Felix

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