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September 2009
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August 2009 ArchivesThe broad area of low pressure in the Atlantic east of the Lesser Antilles has become better organized and could become a tropical depression during the next day or so if it develops into a closed circulation. The system is moving WNW at around 15 mph and is located approximately 600 miles east of the Antilles. There is a greater than 50% chance of this becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. ...
Another August cold front is slowly slogging in from the northwest right now and is currently stationed around Baton Rouge. It will likely take all night tonight and all day Monday for the front to fully traverse our area. Until the front passes, expect a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially during the day on Monday (about a 30% chance) along with stickiness. The front should finally push off the coast Monday night, allowing in s... Hurricane Katrina made landfall in Buras, LA in Plaquemines Parish four years ago today. It roared ashore as a Category 3 storm but with surge as high as a Category 4 or 5 hurricane. The force of that driving surge eventually compromised our levees creating one of the worst local and national disasters in our history. Thankfully, the tropics today are a far cry from the activity we saw four years ago. What was Tropical Storm Danny i...
At 5am Saturday morning Danny was being absorbed by a low over No... Tropics: TS Danny is still gradually pulling Northwest, even though it looks really undefined today. Winds are at 40mph, which is barely a tropical storm. Nonetheless, the Carolinas are bracing for tropical storm force winds this weekend, with Massachusetts and Nova Scotia not far behind. Weekend Weather: We'll see more showers and storms Sat and Sun as a cold front moves closer. Expect a 40% chance ea...
Danny weakens again at the 10pm advisory. A tropical storm watch has been posted for parts of North Carolina. For more on Danny go to our hurricane page at wwltv.com. Another tro... Danny is a 60 mph tropical storm this morning, still sitting east of the Bahamas Islands. The track continues to take Danny between Bermuda and the Outer Banks of North Carolina, then up the East Coast toward Massachusetts. Danny is supposed to gradually strengthen to a low-end hurricane (Category 1) over the next day or so. Behind Danny, a healthy wave has exited the African coastline and will be watched for gradual growth. ...
Over the weekend, the rain chances are slightly higher due to a front moving into SE Louisiana and S Mississippi. Rain chances 40% Saturday and 30% Sunday with the front coming through. More dry air is expected Monday & Tuesday. At 10pm Wednesday, Danny is a trop... Newly-formed Tropical Storm Danny is now centered at 24.9 N, 70.3 W or about 775 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC. Danny has 45 mph winds and is moving to the WNW at 18 mph and is eventually expected to take a turn to the north-northwest in the Atlantic and clip somwhere between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda. In the meantime, the Bahamas can expect several inches of rain. It doesn't appear this storm will be a threat to the Gulf... The Hurricane Hunters are flying a mission right now through the area of disturbed weather, and they found tropical storm force winds. They have upgraded Invest 92 now to Tropical Storm Danny. Early models send TS Danny up the East Coast, possibly coming close to the Outer Banks of North Carolina. These are just early models, though, and since the disturbance is still forming, a lot can change. Just keep one eye on it. ...The gorgeous, dry air we've been seeing as of late will slowly be losing its grip on the area. Tonight, it will be just a touch more humid with lows in the mid 60's to near 70. Tomorrow, as well, will be a bit more humid, but still looking rain-free with highs approaching 90. Showers and storms could be moving in, along with thicker, summer-like humidity by Thursday. This should stick around all the way into next week as well, as it appear... An area near the Bahamas is looking better organized this morning, and the NHC gives this area a pretty good chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next day or so. A Hurricane Hunter Reconnaissance Aircraft will investigate the area later today, and will provide more info at that time. The cluster of thunderstorms is moving WNW at 20 mph. ...Bill became extratropical early this morning. Winds are still up near 70 mph, but the system has lost its tropical characteristics. Therefore, the National Hurricane Center has issued it final advisory. As we lose Bill, we look to the south at yet another area of disturbed weather. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level area of low pressure is about 350 miles east of the leeward islands is producing an batch of disorganized... The comfortable humidity reigns again! Dry air is in place today, and that will mean low dewpoints, nice sunshine, and lower than normal temperatures. Expect a few showers by the end of the week, and humidity will start to increase by Saturday as well. ...Gorgeous weather is slated to continue not only for tonight, but also for the next couple of days. A very unusual dry airmass for August has moved in and will be making an extended stay. This means several sun-filled and dry days, followed up by a couple of very comfortable overnights. Tonight, temperatures will dip into the 60's in most spots, even in the city. Some of the cool spots on the Northshore may even get as cool as the mid 50's.... As a cold front continues its trek south, after crossing through Southeastern LA and Coastal MS earlier today, drier air continues to filter in. This means unseasonably low levels of humidity to round out the weekend with temperatures struggling to break out of the 80's through the early week. All the way through Tuesday, dewpoints should hang tough in the dry 50's and 60's, providing for an uncharacteristically comfortable August stretch. ... Bill is now a Category 2 hurricane southwest of Bermuda with winds of 110 mph. Bill is expected to skirt between Bermuda and the United States over the next few days, providing peripheral effects (high seas, gusty winds, and pehaps some heavy rain) to Bermuda and New England before racing across extreme sourtheastern Canada and out into the open North Atlantic, where Bill will dissipate next week. Locally, after some bouts of heavy st... Bill still is a Category 3 hurricane with 125 mph winds, continuing its haul northwestward. Right now, its centered north of the islands of the Caribbean in the Atlantic Ocean. It appears Bill will scrape near Bermuda late this week or over the weekend as perhaps a Category 4 storm, providing the island with tropical storm comditions. Bill should then trek northward, well east of the United States, giving New England some high swell and per... Widespread showers and storms will continue on Friday as a cold front slowly presses in from the north. The front appears it will actually finally cross on Saturday, meaning a more comfortable feel to the second half of the weekend and beginning of the new week along with rain-free skies. Temperatures for Sunday and Monday will still range around 90, but humidity levels will drop noticeably. This same front will actually also guarant...
A front will come through on Saturday with the best chance for rain Saturday morning at 30%. Drier for Saturday afternoon, but still hot. Less humid Sunday & Monday. Bill still a major and could threaten Bermuda. Dangerous rip currents and large swells will affect the eastern U.S. Sunday m... Expect showers and storms again today, mostly during the afternoon and evening. We'll see a 50% chance today. So what does 50% mean? 50% of the day it will rain? The rain will be 50% heavy? Well, when we say 50% chance for showers and storms, we mean that 50% of the AREA will see rain. Doesn't matter if it is a few drops or a huge rainstorm. So how big is our area? We forecast from McComb, MS to Boothville, LA and Baton Rouge to Gulfpo... Scattered showers & thunderstorms will continue for Thursday and Friday. Some downpours may cause some street flooding. Highs will be in the upper 80s to around 90. At 10pm, Wednesday evening Bill continues to be a strong category 4 hurricane and could reach winds of 145 mph on Thursday. For more on the tropics, watch our tropical update and go to our hurricane page. ...
We have the 1st major hurricane of the season. Bill is a category 3 hurricane and will bypass the U.S. and British Virgin Islands. For more on Bill, go to our hurricane page. ...What is left of Ana is coursing through Cuba this morning. It is a weak tropical low, and it is expected to drift into Florida bringing some heavy rain. We'll watch Ana, but conditions do not look favorable for redevelopment. Bill is a Category 2 hurricane with winds of 100mph. Bill will curve to the North, missing the Caribbean and the Gulf. Interests around Bermuda, and MAYBE the Northeastern U.S. should monitor Bill's track.
Hurricane Bill has increased at 10pm Monday to a category 2 hurricane. For more on Bill go to our hurricane page. ...After seeing Tropical Storm Claudette become just remnants during the day today, there's more good news to report out of the tropics. Anna now, as well, as taken on too much dry air to handle. Tropical Storm Anna has lost its circulation and has now been downgraded to just remnants and now is not expected to develop. Bill, though, is continuing to strengthen. Hurricane Bill is now a Category 1 storm with winds up to 90 mph, over the... Claudette is now becoming an extratropical storm over Alabama and will continue to move toward northeastern Mississippi tonight as it dissipates. Right now, Ana remains a tropical depression. Maximum sustained winds are only at 35 mph and it is 105 miles SW of Puerto Rico and is moving to the WNW at 28 mph, and will gradually curve northward as it crosses Haiti and the Dominican Republic. This would leave Ana perhaps hugging the wes... Claudette made landfall around 1am today near Ft. Walton Beach, FL. Winds were near 50 mph, and wind gusts to near 50 were reported. Rainfall is the bigger threat, and 3-6" in a few spots can be expected. Claudette will continue to weaken as it moves further into Alabama and Mississippi. Bill is now a Category 1 hurricane in the middle of the Atlantic. Models are still in good agreement that Bill will recurve away from the Leeward Isl...
Tropical Depression Ana is pretty ragged and may not survive the next few days. It will be watched as a remnant low that could possibly enter the Gulf ... Tropical Storm Claudette is still approaching the western panhandle of Florida with winds of 50 mph, moving WNW at 12 mph. It is centered at 29.7 N, 85.9 W or about 95 miles SE of Pensacola, FL. Storm surge on the Big Bend of Florida will be between 3 and 5', with rainfall totals on the Panhandle, SE Alabama, and SE Georgia between 3 and 6" (with localized amounts up to 10"), and winds around 50 mph. No real direct effects are expected in S... Claudette continues to hold its own over the northeastern Gulf Of Mexico. It's a tropical storm with winds of about 50 mph. It is moving northwest at about 14 mph and is located about 40 miles WSW of Apalachicola, FL and 120 miles SE of Pensacola, FL. Claudette still may strengthen a bit before it makes landfall, somewhere around Pensacola/Destin, FL. It should provide the Florida Panhandle with a good at least 3-6" of rain, perhaps even a... Newly-formed T.S. Claudette has picked up steam this afternoon. It now has winds of 50 mph and is taking dead-aim on the Florida Panhandle, somewhere between about Apalachicola and Pensacola, making landfall either later today or early Monday. The storm could have winds as high as 65 mph as it moves inland along the Florida Coast, accompanied by storm surge of 3-5', and as much as 3-5" (and locally up to 10") of rain. We here in Southeaster... Radars out of Tampa indicated a circulation in the wave that is increasing our chance for rain today. NHC had upgraded this wave to TD#4 at 8am and now is upgraded to TS Claudette. Landfall late this evening is expected at the Florida Panhandle. No threat to us in SE LA at this time. Bill and Ana continue out in the Atlantic. Ana encountering some shear. For more on all the tropics, go to our Hurricane page at wwltv.com... Tropical Storm Ana has been looking very poorly organized through the late afternoon and evening. This is mainly due to its very quick motion and ingestion of dry air. This is expected to continue to hamper any real development of Ana over the next several days. Right now, the storm is hauling to the west at 17 mph and has winds of 40 mph, centered at 14.4 N, 51.5 W. Tropical Storm Bill, though, is looking a lot better formed. Although it... There are now two tropical storms in the Atlantic, still several thousand miles from the United States. With wind shear slackening, it is likely that these storms both will strengthen. First is Tropical Storm Ana. Ana has been taking in plenty of dry air, stunting its development over the past few days and keeping it at a 40 mph tropical storm, but this dry air intrusion should slowly cut off over the next few days allowing for some strengt... The remnants of TD #2 regenerates to TS Ana, the first named storm of the season. The strong tropical wave behind it became TD #3 and could also develop into TS Bill later today or this weekend. A tropical wave over Cuba and the Florida strait will increase our chance for rain tomorrow and on Monday. See our hurricane page for tracks and computer models. ...
The remnants of TD #2 looks better on Friday and may redevelop into... Since we don't OFFICIALLY have any storms to track, here are just some thoughts on the tropics heading into this weekend. Yesterday, TD2 was downgraded to a remnant low. Since then, the low has looked better organized, with more convection around the center. I think we could see the remnant low develop back into a depression this weekend, maybe even becoming TS Ana. It will be interesting to see what the NHC does with this one.
A tropical wave over Hispanola will move into the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday and start to increase our rain chances for Sunday and Monday. Rain chances 20% for Friday, 30% on Saturday, ... Even though T.D. 2 was expected to become Ana yesterday, it is still a depression this morning, and actually looks pretty ragged. If you look at infrared satellite images, you'll notice a lot of the convection (thunderstorms) have diminished, and it looks pretty weak. That is why the NHC kept TD 2 as a depression. Track is still westward, and it looks to stay either a depression or weak tropical storm for the next 5 days. Wave off the ...
Rain chances will slowly creep up Saturday to 30% and 40% on Sunday. A tropical wave currently in the eastern Caribbean will... Our second tropical depression of the season is still out in the eastern Atlantic, thousands of miles from the coast of the United States. Conditions are conducive for this system to become a tropical storm, perhaps as early as later on this afternoon or evening. The good news: all tracks at this point in time are taking the system west, then northwest into the open Atlantic, aiming toward the Bermuda or the US East Coast by about a week out... No changes overnight with T.D. 2...still expected to strengthen into T.S. Ana later today or tonight. The models still keep TD 2 in the Atlantic away from the Caribbean or Gulf. ...
Best viewing times will be between 11pm and dawn both nights. Just look up and hopefully you will see meteors between partly cloudy skies during the overnight hours. For more information, see >> Continue reading: Perseid Meteor Shower Our newly formed tropical depression is currently located at 14.6 N, 29.6 W, just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. This could become a Tropical Storm by Wednesday. The good news is, this appears that it will take a northwesterly turn into the open Atlantic, but there's still plenty of varibles and time to watch the future track of this system and this is still a good 5 to 7 days away from coming anywhere near the United States. ...We have a newly formed tropical depression early this Tuesday morning. The depression is located just off the African coastline, moving westward. Here are the stats: 6:00 AM AST Tue Aug 11 Early models hint at the depression becoming T.S. Ana in the next few days, and then turning North. We'll keep you updated! ...
Best viewing times will be between 11pm and dawn both nights. Just look up and hopefully you will see meteors between partly cloudy skies during the overnight hours. For more information, see >> Continue reading: Perseid Meteor Shower A tropical wave is located near the Cape Verde Islands, just west of Africa. Atmospheric conditions, including wind shear and water temperatures, are conducive for development of this system. Over the next couple of days, the is a 30-50% chance that this could become our next tropical depression. Overall, the good news is, at least initially, that it appears anything that would devlop would be directed north and west over the open Atlantic,...
Dr Gray and Dr Klotzbach expect now 10 name storms, 4 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. The average for a season is 11 names storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. They found 4 similiar... Heat and humdity continues over the next few days as a ridge of hot high pressure builds in from Texas. Highs everyday should get into the lower and middle 90's with only a 10-20% chance of showers and storms. The only exceptions to that rule should be Thursday, as well as Monday and Tuesday of next week, as a couple of weaknesses in our ridge develop, kicking shower and storm chances up to about a 30-40% along with highs closer to 90. ...As a hot ridge of fair-weather high pressure continues to nose in from Texas and the Gulf of Mexico, humidity and temperatures will remain high along with reduced shower and storm chances. Through Wednesday, with only a 20% chance of showers and storms, under partial sun, afternoon temperatures will reach into the uncomfortable lower and middle 90's. By Thursday and Friday, the ridge may break down a bit. This should allow with more seasona... A hot ridge of high pressure that's been building in Texas over the past few days will bleed into Southeastern Louisiana during the new workweek. This means a reduced chance of showers and storms and afternoon highs back into the middle 90's not only for Monday, but also for nearly the entire week! With high humidity, temperatures will feel even hotter than that with heat indicies between 95 and 105. Plenty of water and easy does it this we... As a trough, or weakness in the atmosphere, and its accompanying distubances swing east and away from us, expect a slow decrease in showers and storms over the next few days along with a gradual increase in sunshine and summer heat into the new workweek. Sunday, still expect some extra clouds, but just a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms with higs 90 to 95. Clouds will decrease by Monday and Tuesday with a 20% to 30% chance of a few sh... |
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