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September 2009
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July 2009 Archives


Stationary Front Makes For A Soggy Start To Satchmo Summerfest Weekend

1:55 PM Fri, Jul 31, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

A front stalled around Shreveport will pull yet another disturbance through for today and tomorrow. This means extra clouds and extra rain chances through your Friday and Saturday (60% chance for today and 40% chance for tomorrow). Both days, with lots of moisture around, expect some heavy downpours, as well, with any thunderstorms that develop. By Sunday, the disturbance should begin its exit, so the later events of Satchmo Summerfest shou...



Better Chance of Showers and Storms By Week's End

5:26 AM Thu, Jul 30, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

Today, we'll continue with a relative lull in shower and thunderstorm activity as we remain in a break between disturbances. By afternoon, under a mix of clouds and sun and stifling humidity, we should reach into the lower and middle 90's with only a 30% chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Our next disturbance, though, will swing in for Friday and Saturday with an increased 50% chance of scattered rain and storms along with extra clouds.

...



Still Unbelieveably Quiet in the Tropics

5:27 AM Wed, Jul 29, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

It's almost August, the beginning of the peak of hurricane season, and you could hear a pin drop across the tropics. With still no named storms yet for the year, its been unusually quiet this season. Forecasts of wind shear from El Nino, that wrecks any developing tropical disturbances, so far, have played out very well. If we can keep the continued wind shear in through the remainder of the season, chances are, we'll hold with our forecast...



Some Heavy Dowpours Today

5:21 AM Tue, Jul 28, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

As a front remains stalled a few hundred miles to our north, rain and thunderstorms will again be drawn across Southeastern Louisiana today. With plenty of moisture to work with, any thunderstorms could produce heavy rain. The silver lining in the forecast: we do need the rain (defecits are running near a foot on the year) and with the extra clouds, temperatures will be held at or below average with highs 85 to around 90.

...



More Rain in the Forecast This Week

4:48 PM Mon, Jul 27, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

A boundary close to the South will allow extra showers and storms to develop for the next couple of days. This means we'll see slightly higher than normal rain chances through Wednesday. Any shower or thunderstorm that develops will have plenty of moisture with it, so heavy rain and lightning will be likely. Carry the umbrellas daily this week...and get ready to soak up some much needed rainfall!

...



Another Front, Another Day Of Storms

5:38 AM Mon, Jul 27, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

A cold front that moved through the mid-Mississippi Valley is now stalling out a few hundred miles to our north. Juicy winds out of the Gulf of Mexico will continue to plow in ahead of the front in our neighborhood. With the front in place and the very sticky air flowing in, showers and thunderstorms will be a big part of the forecast today, tomorrow, and Wednesday. With lots of clouds, high temperatures will also be held down a bit in the ...



Strong to Severe T'Storms..Storm Reports

6:52 PM Sun, Jul 26, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


There have been a few severe thunderstorm warnings and an Urban flood advisory Sunday late afternoon/early evening. St Charles parish had both. Some hail was reported also in MS. Here are some storm reports so far....

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
631 PM CDT SUN JUL 26 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DAT...



Wet Work Week

3:40 PM Sun, Jul 26, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Rain chances will increase this week. Some downpours and heavy rain possible this week as well. Rain chances 60% Monday & Tuesday, 50% Wednesday, and 40%Thursday to Saturday.

Highs will be in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees.

...



Heat Wanes A Bit Into The New Week

6:17 PM Sat, Jul 25, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

After a carbon-copy day on Sunday, with only the outside chance of a shower or thunderstorm and highs back into the low and mid 90's, a cold front will roll into the area on Monday and stall. With the extra clouds and rain, hiumidity will still be a main player, but heat will not, with highs may only reach the mid 80's to near 90. As the front holds in place, we'll keep generally the same weather pattern through midweek,

...



Heat & Few T'storms

8:43 AM Sat, Jul 25, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

Rain chances not that high over weekend. 20-30% with highs in the low to mid 90s. Rain chances will increase during the work week with thunderstorms more likely.

Tropics quiet still. A new Dr Gray/Dr Klotzbach forecast is due Aug 4th.

...



Mainly Rain-Free, But Hot For Tarpon Rodeo & Weekend Fests

5:57 AM Fri, Jul 24, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

As a cold front continues to whither and stall across our area, expect a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm today and through the weekend. With the front falling apart, though, it will have little effect in improving our weather. We'll continue with partial sun, high humidity, and afternoon temperatures in the 90's through Sunday.

...



Low Rain Chances For Now

4:17 PM Thu, Jul 23, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Some slightly drier air made it's way into the area lowering rain chances for Thursday. We will keep rain chances at 20% for isolated showers or thunderstorms Friday and over the weekend. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s.

It appears that next will we will have increasing rain chances and the possibility of heavy rain.

...



Taking Rain Chances Down A Bit Going Into The Weekend

6:20 AM Thu, Jul 23, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

As a cold front progresses across Southeastern Louisiana, but washes out, expect a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms today along with continued seasonable heat and humidity. The front will continue to lose its identity overnight and through Friday and Saturday. This means a decrease in shower and storm coverage, only down to about a 20% chance for the last day of the workweek and first day of the weekend. Highs both days will hit the ...



Still Have Chances for Rain

6:35 PM Wed, Jul 22, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

A weak front will hang across central Louisiana and help to keep moisture in place for a chance for showers or thunderstorms the rest of this week and into the weekend. Rain chances will be 30% Thursday & Friday, 40% Saturday & Sunday & Monday, and 50% Tuesday & Wednesday.

Highs will be in the low 90s.

...



Another Cold Front...

5:53 AM Wed, Jul 22, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

Another cold front is rolling in from the north, but this one, unlike last weekend's front, will not pass through. Right now, the front is beginning to stall out just from about an Alexandria/Jackson, MS line. This will ensure plenty of humidity through the weekend and will also mean a return to showers and storms. Through the end of the workweek, expect a 30%-40% chance of showers and storms along with muggy highs around 90.

...



Rain Chances...

7:46 PM Tue, Jul 21, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

Rain chances can be expected in the next 7days. Rain chances really increase late in the weekend and into next week. Keep the umbrella handy . We are running 11.42" below normal for the year and .32" below normal for the month.

Tropics still fairly quiet.

...



Heat, Humidity, & Storms Back In The Forecast

5:20 AM Tue, Jul 21, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

As the Gulf opens up and dry air loosens its control once again, showers and storms will increase in coverage, especially during the afternoons, over the next few days. By the end of today, expect a 20% chance for a pop-up shower or thunderstorm. Each day for the rest of this week and into the beginning of the weekend rain chances will continue to ratchet up, reaching 30%-40% for Wednesday and beyond. With the increase in moisture, our tem...



Humidity Returning

5:04 PM Mon, Jul 20, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Isol'd showers & thunderstorms developed Monday afternoon. Dewpoints will continue to rise overnight into Tuesday so humidity will increase.

Isolated showers & thunderstorms will continue Tuesday and becoming more spotty on Wednesday. Highs will be in the low 90s.

...



Dry, Seasonable Heat Today

5:20 AM Mon, Jul 20, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

As dry air dips in from the north, we'll see relatively comfortable levels of humidity today, but we'll also still see seasonable heat, with highs near 90, under lots of blazing sunshine. Humidity is not far off, though. As a boundary that's been staving off our more typical summertime weather washes out overhead and winds switch back to the south, we'll introduce more uncomfortable humidity levels back into the forecast along with our typic...



Record Lows Monday Morning?

9:13 PM Sun, Jul 19, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

With the dry air in place, we could threaten some record lows north of the lake and even south of the lake. Here are the record lows for Monday morning:

McComb - 62
Baton Rouge - 64
Biloxi - 62
Armstrong Int'l - 69
Audubon - 70.

Forecast lows north of the lake 61-66 and south of the lake 68-73.

...



Less Humid For Sunday

4:17 PM Sat, Jul 18, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

Drier air will continue to move in Sunday with slightly lower humidity. Lows north of the lake Sunday with be in the mid 60s, near record lows around Baton Rouge, McComb, and even Gulfport/Biloxi areas. Lows south of the lake will be in the lower 70s. It will still be hot with highs around 90. Isolated showers or thunderstorms (10-20%) mainly along coastal areas and coastal waters for Sunday.

...



Drier Air Moving In

11:40 AM Sat, Jul 18, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Rain chances lowering this afternoon to 20% for isolated thunderstorms with drier air moving in. Highs will be in the upper 80s to near 90.

Less humidity for Sunday.

...



Downpours this afternoon

2:28 PM Fri, Jul 17, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Still a good 60% chance for showers and thunderstorms rest of today..some could have heavy downpours. Overnight rain chances still around 30% for spotty thunderstorms. The approach of a front on Saturday will keep rain chances around 40% as drier air tries to make it in. It is more likely late Saturday and into Sunday will the air become slightly drier with a 10% rain chance on Sunday.

Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s ov...



Still More Rain..Then Drier Air!

2:15 PM Thu, Jul 16, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Still a pattern through Friday with scattered thunderstorms starting in the morning along the coast then working their way north inland during the afternoon. Some could produce heavy downpours that may produce a quick 1-2" which may cause some street flooding.

Some slightly drier air may start to move in on Saturday and more so on Sunday. Rain chance Saturday 30-40% and 10% on Sunday.

...



Showers & Storms Leading To Less Humidity By Sunday

3:15 PM Wed, Jul 15, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

With plenty of Gulf of Mexico moisture flowing in through the first half of the weekend, expect a 60% chance of well-needed showers and thunderstorms along with lots of humidity. With the extra clouds and rain, temperatures should stay close to the 90-degree-mark through Saturday. A cold front is looking like it has plans on slowly crossing through Saturday into early Sunday. Behind the front, clouds and shower and storm chances will dimini...



Rain & Relief?

5:00 PM Tue, Jul 14, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

A warm front will exit our vicinity later this evening still leaving behind plenty of residual moisture, but a reduced chance of rain with the loss of daytime heating. Overnight, only expect a 20% chance of leftover showers and storms under clouds and stars. Wednesday through Saturday should generally be repeats of today, with extra clouds, plenty of humidity, and a 50% chance of showers and storms each day with highs close to 90. Finally, ...



A More Unsettled Pattern

10:50 AM Tue, Jul 14, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

As high pressure shifts back westward into Texas, look for more "unsettled" or stormy weather today through the weekend. Rain chances today stand at 40%, but go up to 50-60% through the rest of the week and weekend. Grab the umbrellas and anticipate some heavy showers or thunderstorms this week!

...



"Cooling" Down

5:12 PM Mon, Jul 13, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

A few showers and thunderstorms are scattered about the area this Monday afternoon; nothing severe, though. This should come down to about a 20% chance overnight with the loss of daytime heating. The last of relatively higher heat should begin to move out tomorrow as we begin getting affected by more frequent disturbances. With a 40% chance of showers and storms, we'll see highs back into the low and mid 90's Tuesday. Thereafter, all the w...



Heat Advisory Today...Rain on the Way!

8:31 AM Mon, Jul 13, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

A heat advisory has been posted for the parishes North and West of Lake Ponchartrain today. Expect this heat wave to subside this week as rain chances go up and temperatures go down. In fact, by the weekend we'll be facing a 50-60% chance for scattered thunderstorms.

...



Higher Heat Monday & Tuesday

6:30 PM Sun, Jul 12, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

The hot airmass that's been plaguing Texas with high heat over the past few weeks will nudge east toward our neighborhood Monday and Tuesday. This will keep our shower and thunderstorm chances down to 20%-30% and our temperatures back up into the mid and upper 90's. Paired with high humidity, temperatures should feel more like 100-110 degrees during the beginning of the workweek. The heat bubble will move back well into Texas again for the ...



Living On The Edge

6:04 PM Sat, Jul 11, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

With a sprawl of high pressure over Texas providing extreme heat and highs near 100 degrees just to our west, temperatures will again get well into the 90's in our neighborhood for the second half of the weekend into the new workweek. Heat here, though, will not be nearly as high, nor as persistent as just a few hundred miles away. As we remain on the eastern edge of the very hot airmass through the end of the weekend, we may get in on a dis...



Hot Weekend..Isol'd T'Storms

4:17 PM Fri, Jul 10, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

High temperatures will be in the mid 90s over the weekend. Any relief with rain will be a 20% chance for isolated showers or thunderstorms. The heat index will be from 100-110.

Tropics continue to be quiet. With El Nino now in place, stronger wind shear in the Atlantic Basin may help to keep this hurricane season from being above average.

...



Pontchartrain Astronomy Society Meeting

9:57 PM Thu, Jul 09, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


The July Pontchartrain Astronomy Society Meeting will be held at the St. Charles Parish Library/Planetarium on Today July 10th at 7:30 PM. The planetarium is located at the corner of Lakewood Drive and Hwy. 90, near a Shell Station at 105 Lakewood Drive, Luling. The planetarium is located in the library and is across Hwy. 90 from the Monsanto Plant. Gary Meibaum will be presenting "Two Small Pieces Of Glass." This is a planetarium
...



El Nino is Officially Here!

8:16 AM Thu, Jul 09, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

The CPC (Climate Prediction Center) has declared officially that El Nino has developed in the Pacific Waters. What does this mean for us? Well, hopefully a continued quiet tropical season. El Nino years tend to have lower numbers of storms. This would make sense, as we haven't seen a named storm yet in the Atlantic. El Nino conditions keep vertical wind shear high in the Caribbean, and that destroys any tropical waves that try to develop.

...



Pontchartrain Astronomy Society Meeting

1:41 PM Wed, Jul 08, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


The July Pontchartrain Astronomy Society Meeting will be held at the St. Charles Parish Library/Planetarium on July 10th at 7:30 PM. The planetarium is located at the corner of
Lakewood Drive and Hwy. 90, near a Shell Station at 105 Lakewood Drive, Luling. The planetarium is located in the library and is across Hwy. 90 from the Monsanto Plant. Gary Meibaum will be presenting "Two Small Pieces Of Glass." This is a planetarium
...



Some More Rain

3:57 PM Tue, Jul 07, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo

After a night and morning of rain and thunderstorms..a few more are passing through during the afternoon.

More rain is possible overnight tonight through Wednesday morning with rain/thunderstorms tapering off Wednesday afternoon.

There still could be strong thunderstorms or heavy downpours.

...



More Rain

10:20 PM Mon, Jul 06, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


A 30% chance for rain overnight and Tuesday early morning. Rain chance will increase to at least 50% Tuesday afternoon. This will help keep high temperatures to the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Rain chances will stay at 40-50% most of this week.

...



Sct'd Showers Possible Tonight, and Likely Tomorrow

4:36 PM Mon, Jul 06, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

Most of the rain is winding down this evening, and a few lingering showers or t'storms are possible through the overnight. Expect another round tomorrow of some heavy downpours and thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts may be greater than 1.5 or 2" in a few spots.

...



Say Goodbye to the Extreme Heat!

5:57 AM Mon, Jul 06, 2009 |
Jonathan Myers

As a cold front stalls out to our north, expect temperatures to not be quite as hot today! Although the front is stalled miles away from us, it has moved near enough to squelch the big bubble of extreme heat that we've seen over us the past couple of weeks. It will also bring enough shower, thunderstorm, and cloud coverage to keep us near 90, which is seasonable heat, over the next few afternoons through the end of the workweek. In addition...



A Break in the Heat and the Dry Weather?

5:44 PM Sun, Jul 05, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

Scattered showers and storms are expected to develop this week, changing our current weather pattern. That means more afternoon storms, and lower temps. Don't forget the umbrellas this week!

...



Record Heat Audubon Saturday/Heat Advisory Sunday

6:37 PM Sat, Jul 04, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


A record high at Audubon was reached Saturday at 99. Armstrong Int'l miss the record by one with a high Saturday of 97. A few thunderstorms reached severe in MS with some small hail reported in Diberville and wind damage in Biloxi.

Another Heat Advisory is in effect for today. Rain chances will be 20-30% chance for spotty thunderstorms. Record highs still possible in the mid to upper 90s. Records for Kenner 97 and Audubon 9...



Heat Advisory for 4th of July

8:23 AM Sat, Jul 04, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Once again the area is under a Heat Advisory. Record highs are possible also with highs today in the upper 90s. Records today 98 at Kenner and 97 at Audubon. Rain chance 20% for isolated thunderstorms, but because of the heat and amount of moisture in the air, any thunderstorm can become strong.

...



Heat Advisory Today

12:00 PM Fri, Jul 03, 2009 |
Laura Buchtel

We're starting the July 4th weekend on a hot note...a heat advisory is in effect for today. Expect highs in the upper 90s, and a heat index from 100-110. The same rules as usual apply: drink lots of water, take breaks in the A/C or at least the shade, and wear light, loose clothing. Happy 4th of July everyone!

...



Severe Thunderstorms/Hail

4:05 PM Thu, Jul 02, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


Severe thunderstorm warnings have gone up today for Terrebonne, Orleans, Jefferson, St Tammany, Washington parishes and MS counties. Small hail reported in the Houma area and the CBD. Some street flooding is possible with the slow moving thunderstorms this afternoon.

A tornado warning was up for Hancock county for a possible tornado near Pearlinton.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW OR...



Ozone Alert Day Thursday

3:17 PM Wed, Jul 01, 2009 |
Carl Arredondo


A(n) Action Day has been declared for New Orleans area on Thursday, July 2

Thursday, Jul 2: 104 AQI Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups Ozone

For Thursday, hot temperatures, mostly sunny skies, and light winds will lead to Moderate AQI levels throughout the state. In addition, AQI levels will reach Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups in Thibodaux and in Baton Rouge and New Orleans Thursday. Friday, light to moderate sout...