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September 2008
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August 2008 ArchivesGustav has max winds of 115mph. That makes the storm still a Cat 3 storm, but signs are that it won't strenghten into a Cat 4. Right now it is expected to make landfall with winds of 120 mph. Coordinates are 27.3 N 88.1 W. The track has not moved much if at all. The eyewall will come in around coastal Terrebonne parish tomorrow morning. Hurricane force winds extend 70 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend 220 mi...
Some good news. Gustav is still a category 3 hurricane with winds of 115 mph. Some strengthening is possible, but Gustav may not get back to a category 4 before landfall. It is also moving faster at 18 mph to the northwest. There isn't much time or water left for it to get a lot stronger. Location 26.4N 87.3W or 215 miles from the mouth of t...
It is moving to the NW at 17 mph. It is at 25.9N 86.6W or 270 miles from the mouth of the River. A new forecast track will come out at 4pm. ...
Gustav remains a category 3 hurricane with winds of 120 mph. It is located at 25.3N 86.0W or 325 miles SE of the mouth of the river. Movement is to the NW at 17 mph. Dry air and shear on the western side has caused the weakening during the early morning hours, but the NHC still expects strengthening to a category 4 later t... GUSTAV LOCAL IMPACTS GUSTAV LOCAL IMPACTS GUSTAV LOCAL IMPACTS
A category 3 hurricane is still expected in the Gulf of Mexico. There was a slight shift to the left or west at the 4pm advisory from NHC, but SE Louisiana would still be on the worst side. A possible storm surge of 9-12' could affect Terrebonne parish east to the mouth of the River. S...
The forecast from NHC has shifted to the left or west slightly, but may continue to shift one way or the other over the weekend. Everyone should continue with plans if you are told to or want to... Current Coordinates Current Coordinates Current Coordinates Gustav is a tropical storm with winds of 65 mph over Jamaica this morning. In fact, the hurricane hunters could not get info on the center because the center is directly over the island. It has a WNW movement around 8mph, and the track is very similar to last night: through the Gulf this weekend, and closer to the Louisiana coastline by late Monday/early Tuesday. The strength of the storm may be a strong Cat 3 by that time, so intensification ...
Gustav is still expected to be a Category 3 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico and approaching the coast of Louisiana. By 7pm Monday, Gustav could be south of Terrebonne parish. The change in the track from NHC is that there is a shift to the left or ...
Gustav continues to move over Jamaica with winds of 70 mph. Location is 17.9N 77.0W or 15 miles west of Kingston. It is still moving west at 7 mph. Not much change expected in strength until Gustav moves away from the island. The track remains the same with Louisiana in the middle of the cone of error. A category 3 hurricane may be in the ... Tropical Storm Gustav is now passing over Jamaica. It still has winds of 70 mph, making Gustav a strong Tropical Storm. Sometime Friday, Gustav should pass near or over the Cayman Islands. As early as late Thursday, this could become a hurricane and move into the Gulf by the weekend. Although we in southeast Louisiana have been near the center of the cone of uncertainty for several days, there is still a decent chance Gustav could head els... Gustav still is holding its own as a strong Tropical Storm at 70 mph. It is moving to the west at 5 mph and will move near or over Jamaica today and tonight. Once re-emerging over open water, strengthening is likely, perhaps to a major hurricane over the weekend. There is still much uncertainty as to where the storm will go when it enters the Gulf, but New Orleans remains in the cone of uncertainty. ...Tropical Storm Gustav continues to slowly get better organized with winds of 70 mph. The storm is 17.9 N, 76.1 W, moving to the west at 5 mph. The cone of uncertainty still stretches all the way from Apalachicola, FL to the Big Bend of Texas, There is still little certainty as to where the storm will eventually end up, but it is a likelihood that it will affect some portion of the Gulf Coast. ...Good morning everyone! Well, as expected, there has been a shift in the track this morning. All night long, Gustav has been moving SW, and now looks to pass SOUTH of Jamaica, instead of North. That is a big change, and one the models did not anticipate. So what does that mean for us? Well, now the landfall has shifted west of the MS river, to around the Atchafalaya Bay. And that is actually on the eastern side of most of the models (most have ...
Some changes in the 10pm advisory. Gustav is more to the wsw of it's earlier position. Movement is wsw at 8 mph. Wind are at 45 mph and is at 18.8N 75.4W. The other change is the intensity during the next several days. It is expected to remain a tropical storm Thursday and a hurricane by 7pm Friday. Current NHC forecast keeps it as a Catego...
Gustav weakened even more at 7pm with winds down to 45 mph. Some drier air and the high mountains of Haiti have helped. It is about 65 miles SE of Guantanamo, Cuba moving west at 7mph. Gustav is expected to strengthen on Thursday back to hurricane strength. Unfortunately, there are still great uncertainty in the future track past Satur... Not a whole lot new to report with Gustav at the current hour. It is only slowly moving to the west-northwest at about 5 mph at 2 PM and is just exiting the western coast of Haiti. As it moves over water just south of Cuba, it should strengthen and could become a hurricane over the next couple of days. It perhaps could even become a major hurricane by Saturday when it is forecast to be entering the Gulf Of Mexico. From there tracks diverge... Tropical Storm Gustav continues to very slowly move WNW at about 5 mph. Its strength is nearly the same at 60 mph and it's located 18.8 N, 74.0 W or about 110 mi west of Port Au Prince, Haiti. There is still much uncertainty as to where the storm will go. It appears, at least by the weekend, the storm will be nearby or just in the Gulf. Thereafter, there is a huge spread in where the tracks go. We'll keep you updated. ...Good morning all! Quick look at Gustav shows a tropical storm with winds of 60mph. Gustav has slowed around Haiti, and that could possibly change the forecast track in the future...we'll have to watch the models. Right now, the forecast track still brings Gustav as a major hurricane into the central Gulf late this weekend. Of course, the storm could be as far south as the Yucatan peninsula, or as far East as Florida. Basically the NHC track ha...
Gustav has weakened to a tropical storm as it moved across the peninsula of Haiti. Gustav has winds of 70 mph, but will strengthen again overnight or in the morning. Gustav is at 18.6N 73.6W or 85 miles west of Port Au Prince, Haiti or 150 miles se of Guantanamo, Cuba. Movement is W/NW at 8 mph. All interests from Texas to Florida need to pay...
Gustav weakens alittle over the southwest peninsula of Haiti. Winds are 75 mph, but will increase again when it moves back over water tonight. Gustav is located at 18.4N 73.2W or 60 miles w/sw of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Movement is NW at 10 mph. The Gulf of Mexico will be impacted by Gustav by Saturday night or Sunday morning in ...
Hurricane Gustav makes landfall on the SW peninsula of Haiti about 10 miles west of Jacmel. At 1pm, it is located at 18.2N 72.8W or 40 miles SW of Port Au Prince. Winds are 90 mph with a movement to the NW at 10mph. There is much uncertainty in the forecast past 2-3 days. It will be a strong or major hurricane in the southern Gulf of Mexico s... Hurricane Gustav is now a Category 1 Hurricane with winds of 90 mph. It is centered 17.9 N, 72.4 W, near Port Au Prince, Haiti. Although there is plenty of time to watch the storm, it appears that it will enter the far southeastern Gulf of Mexico by late in the weekend. From that point, we'll have to watch an expanse of high pressure off to the northeast, centered over the Atlantic Ocean, to see if it builds in far enough south to push Gust... Gustav has set it's eye on Haiti, and then will continue just south of Cuba towards the Yucatan Channel. After that, the models are still differing on the future for the storm. If the storm stays south of Cuba, expect it to be a major storm (Cat 3,4 or 5) possibly entering the Gulf by the weekend. That is a long time away, and the storm could do a number of things. A few models to keep it moving westward towards the Yucatan peninsula, and then...
At 10pm, Gustav is stronger with winds of 70 mph and will likely become a hurricane on Tuesday. The present location is 16.6N 71.4W or 150 S/SE of Port Au Prince, Haiti moving NW at 12 mph. The models have many tracks with this system and different intensities. Present forecast from NHC has winds increasing to 90 mph at it's peak. By Saturd...
TD #7 wasted no time going from a depression to Gustav at 4pm now located at 16.3N 71.0W or 180 miles south-southeast of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Movement is to the NW at 14 mph with sustained winds of 60 mph. Gustav is expected to continue to the NW and could become a hurricane in the Caribbean Sea. Future tracks take Gustav anywhere fro...
Now that Fay is inland, we are moving on to our next depression. Yep, TD #7 has formed in the central Caribbean Sea this morning. TD7 has winds near 35mph, central pressure of 1006mb, and is moving to the northwest at 15mph. Tropical storm warnings are already up for the Dominican Republic. We'll have the latest track and info for you on the Eyewitness ... Good morning all, and welcome to another work week! The rain from Fay this morning is isolated, and most of us will enjoy a break this morning. As moisture wraps around from the eastern side of Fay, we may have some scattered showers this afternoon and evening, but they will be like yesterday: light drizzle/light rain. ...
A Wind Advisory is in effect for the southshore until 1am tonight for winds of 25-35 mph with higher gusts. Be on the look... At this point, Fay continues to look ragged. The center of circulation has been inland across Florida for most of the afternoon and evening, and that combined with dry air on it's west side has helped to weaken Fay only to 40 mph with steady continuing weakening through tonight. Although winds will be a minimal concern as Fay continues its transition to depression and remnant low, heavy rain could still be an issue, especially should Fay take... Well, what an interesting day! From 4am when I got here this morning, to 6pm as I type this now, Fay has almost worn itself ragged. The center of circulation has been inland across Florida for most of the afternoon, and that combined with dry air on it's west side has helped to disintegrate it a bit this evening. Fay still has winds of 45 mph, although they are expected to diminish tonight and tomorrow. In fact, all tropical storm watches and ... Hi All! We will be doing hourly updates on Channel 4 all day and through the night, so if you want the latest info and track, check with us at the top of every hour. This morning, not much has changed since 10pm last night. Last night, the NHC made a change to Fay's track, and now she is expected to move into the Northshore parishes as a tropical storm late Sunday/early Monday. You can expect winds around 40mph, with higher gusts. Rain...
At 10pm, Fay is located at 29.7N 84.2W or 50 miles east of Apalachicola moving west at 8 mph. The winds have increased to 50 mph because Fay is over Apalachee Bay. A w...
Fay is still a tropical storm as it slowly slogs west along the northern Florida peninsula at about 5 mph as of 10 AM. Due to its slow motion over land, the storm has continued its slow weakening over the past 12 hours. It is now down to a 45 mph tropical storm. It will continue a slow motion just to the north of west in the near term, tak...
Fay has been consistently inconsistent through her entire life, and she will continue that trend this weekend as well! This morning, the track still puts her through coastal Florida, and through coastal AL and MS by late in the weekend. The official NHC track (right now...subject to change of course) deposits Fay in southern MS or SE LA by Mond...
Fay may move over a small portion of the Gulf of Mexico Friday evening, but may not have enough time to strengthen before it moves back over the Florida panhandle. According to the National Hurricane Center, Fay should remain at ... Tropical Storm Fay is still packing winds of 60 mph, but is finally beginning to make its way WNW back over the Florida East Coast in the vicinity of Flagler Beach. It is only moving at about 2 mph, but nonetheless it is moving, and this is the motion that has been predicted over the past couple of days. Slow movement back over land would alleviate any worry of restrengthening in the Atlantic and eventually will lead to the demise of the sto... Fay remains stationary off the Florida East Coast near Daytona Beach. High pressure remains anchored to the north of the storm keeping Fay in a holding pattern. Until the high moves either east or south, Fay will be hard-pressed to make any progress. If the high slides more to the east, Fay will be forced on a more northerly trajectory, while if the high slides south, the storm will make a more westerly turn. Right now, the National Hurric... Boy, is Fay giving everyone a headache this morning! She is still sitting off the coast of Florida, dumping very heavy rain there. Since midnight, Cape Canaveral has seen 6.50" of rain! And more keeps falling. For us, the biggest turn of events has been yet another shift in the NHC's forecast track for Fay. Right now SE LA is in the cone of uncertainty for 3 days...meaning it is possible for us to feel some kind of effects from Fay ea...
Fay is expected to remain over land through the Florida panhandle. Friday morning has a small window that Fay could move out over the NE Gulf of Mexico. Most of the tracks keep Fay moving w/nw or nw and keeps Fa...
It still appears that Fay will stay to our north and not come directly to us. Our impact may be breezy conditions and MAYBE an increase in the chance for rain on Sunday. ...Good morning! Fay is right now centered along the Eastern coast of Florida, and is expected to hug the coastline today before turning northwest or west tomorrow. Heavy rain is expected to spread back over the peninsula today and tomorrow. As far as the future track is concerned, there isn't yet a good consensus. The official track brings Fay as a depression across the FL panhandle, then through southern Alabama and Mississippi. On that track, ...
Fay is still expected to stall later tomorrow then turn back towards the W/NW. Just how far west Fay goes is still uncertain. It d...
It still appears that Fay will stall on Wednesday over NE Florida or off the coast of NE FL and may still move back towards the west or west/northwest. An organized tropical system will not affect us over SE Louisiana. It may be a rain maker if it makes it this far west. It still appears that it would... Fay continues moving inland over Florida and is currently located near Moore Haven, FL on the western side of Lake Okechobee. It is centered 26.8 N and 81.2 W and is moving NNE around 8 mph. Winds have been sustained over land in Florida at 65 mph. Therefore the intensity of the storm has been revised upward to a 65 mph tropical storm. Wind gusts in Florida have been up to 78 mph during the morning and noontime hours. The storm is forecas... Tropical Storm Fay continues to push inland this morning over Florida, just to the west of Lake Okechobee. It is holding its own, moving to he NNE at 9 mph with continued winds of 60 mph. It may re-emerge over the East Coast of Florida as a tropical storm early Wednesday in the Atlantic Ocean. It will then be a matter of the steering winds if Fay moves nearly directly north, or if Fay moves on a more westerly path back over Florida or the s... Good morning all! Here are the latest on Fay: she made landfall around 4am in Cape Romano, FL (by the way, in the same spot Wilma made landfall back in 2005!) as a tropical storm. Winds are still at 60mph, and her track will be across Florida, into the Atlantic later this week. After that, things get a bit interesting. A strong ridge of high pressure in the mid levels is going to build into the southeast. Fay may bump into that ridge, and then...
At 10pm Monday evening, Tropical Storm Fay was located 60 miles south of Naples, FL at 25.3N 81.9W. Winds are 60 mph and the motion is N 9 mph. Fay will make landfall as a strong Tropical Storm or even a weak hurricane. Hurricane watches and warnings have been posted for South Florida. A track through Florida will continue, but on W...
Fay will continue to move northward through Florida and after Wednesday, there may a stalling of Fay over NE Florida or offshore Jacksonville. There is still much uncertainty from Friday on, but until then, this is no threat t...
AT 2pm central, Fay has made landfall at Key West, Fl. Fay at 1pm was located at 24.3N 81.6W or 20 SE of Key West, FL with sustained winds of 60 mph. Fay is moving N/NW at 14 mph. Fay could become a minimal hurricane b... The latest advisory from the NHC has arrived, and Fay is consistent with winds of 60mph. Her course towards the NNW has increased by 1mph...she is now moving around 13mph. Expect southern Florida to begin to feel the effects of Fay today...with squalls and heavy rain. The track is still the same...with Fay moving up along the west coast of Florida, moving inland somewhere between Ft. Myers and Tampa Bay on Tuesday. ...As of 7am, Fay was still headed towards the SW coast of Florida, with winds of 60 mph. Conditions in the keys were already showing winds around 25 mph and rain moving in. Even though the models are spread out over Florida, things are still looking good for Louisiana. We'll see rain today, but only because of a stationary boundary that will keep chances around 50%. The newest model runs came in... showing quite a shift to the west in the the forecast track of Tropical Storm Fay. This means that the Big Bend area of Florida could see more of the storm than previously anticipated, and we need to continue to monitor this storm. More heavy showers and thunderstorms are possible this Sunday afternoon and evening as a stationary frontal boundary remains parked over the Southeast. Overall the chance of showers today is 70 percent. It looks like another soggy start to the workweek, with a system moving through Texas making its way into this region for early to midweek.
Up to 4 inches of rain from a line of thunderstorms that moved through the area in the middle of the day today. These storms extended from the northshore to the southshore... and produced heavy rain and lightning as they pushed through. As a frontal boundary remains in place over Southeast Louisiana through the weekend, the chance of showers is above 50% through Monday.
Expect some heavy downpours as a line of thunderstorms rolls through the metro area, the northshore, and southshore parishes through the 3pm hour. Dangerous cloud to ground lightning are also associated with these storms. We could see the possibility of 1-2" of rainfall with these storms as they move through the area and some street flooding is possible.
Winds have shifted to the south-southwest, increasing humidity levels as well as the chance for rain this afternoon. Yesterday, a front slowly sagged to the south, drying out the airmass. Today, that front has lifted to the north again, allowing warm and humid air to move into Southeast Louisiana. This will increase our chance of rain today. Tomorrow, a system currently over Northwestern Texas will drop down into our region, increasing our cha...
Friday will be more humid and hot with isolated thunderstorms around. Rain chances increase to 60% on Saturday and 50% on Sunday. Hurricane hunters flew into the disturbance near the Leeward Islands and did not find that a tropical dep...
For Thursday, not as humid, but hot. Any rain chance will be 10% along the coast. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s. Also.. Rain is lighting up Pinpoint Radar this morning, and making the morning commute a headache today. The line of heavy rain extends from the MS Gulf Coast through the metro New Orleans area. Allow extra time to drive in to work or school...as of 5am the southend of the Causeway was closed due to an accident. I anticipate more road issues as more people get up and about today. Behind the front and rain is some drier air...set to move in to... Hurricane hunters did not find a depression in the area east of the Lesser Antilles. This system may develop in the next day or two and will be watched. A westward track is expected and would bring this system towards the Florida straits. IF this system got into the Gulf, if ma...
Thanks to a stationary front across Louisiana, we can expect numerous showers and storms this afternoon and for the next couple of days. Street flooding is likely this afternoon with some of the heavy rain that is possible. ...A large area of showers and thunderstorms across Arkansas... Tennessee and Mississippi will be dropping to the south later on tonight, increasing our cloud cover and chance of showers Sunday night into Monday. With increased cloud cover Monday and some rain cooled air... it will feel a lot more comfortable Monday than Sunday... where temperatures will hover around the 90s for most of the day... and the dewpoint is back up to the mid 70s. ...The cold front that passed through the area yesterday is bringing drier air into the region. Dewpoints on the northshore are in the low 60s. That means it feels a lot more comfortable outside, even though the afternoon temperatures will climb into the low to mid 90s across the area. The lower humidity will not last long however, as this front is expected to slowly push back across the area Sunday, bringing warm, moist air with it. It w...
We have some very heavy thunderstorms rolling through the north and southshores this morning. Frequent lightning can be seen, with some areas seeing 500 strikes an hour! As you head out early today, keep a watchful eye to the sky, and head indoors if these dangerous storms come your way. ...
Some slightly drier air may move in on Saturday with rain chances at 30%. By Sunday, rain chances go to 40% a... Everyone always says, "It's not the heat, it's the humidity!" Well, try telling that to someone living in the desert, where it routinely hits over 100 degrees. The Saints are traveling to Arizona to play the Cardinals, and even though the humidity IS a little lower than what we have in the Deep South, it is still HOT there. Expected highs today are around 105, and by kickoff, they will only have fallen into the 90s. Makes you kind of glad you ...
BUT IT'S A DRY HEAT RIGHT? ...
Edouard is a depression as of 4pm Tuesday and will continue to weaken. ...Edouard came ashore around McFaddin National Wildlife Refuge on the upper coast of Texas. Winds stayed around 65mph, so Edouard did not make hurricane status before landfall. Winds will be in the 60 mile and hour range through Houston, and heavy rain is now a threat. Edouard is moving quickly to the WNW, so hopefully he will continue that forward motion and move along. The faster he goes, the less likely Texas will see massive flooding...
T.S. Edouard is moving WNW at 12 mph, and should make landfall later this morning. Winds have increased a bit overnight, now at 65mph. There is still time for Edouard to briefly make hurricane status, but if he continues to move at such a quick pace, that will be unlikely. Heavy rain begins around Lafayette, and stretches westward to Houston. I-10 will be...
Tropical Storm warnings continue from Grand Isle westward. The tropical storm warning has been dropped from Grand Isle to the mouth of the River. Rain continues along our coast from Lower Jefferson parish...
Tropical Storm Edouard continues off to the west at 8 mph between 100 and 200 miles off the Louisiana Coast. The storm currently has winds of 45 mph and some intensification is likely. Edouard will continue west-northwest, arriving near Galveston, TX early on Tuesday as a strong tropical storm, or perhaps a weak hurricane. As the storm continues westward in a general direction away from us, Coastal Flood Watches have now been dropped... Edouard is still a tropical storm with winds about 50mph this morning. The track takes Edouard towards SE Texas later tonight into tomorrow morning. Some slow strengthening is possible, as upper level winds become a little more conducive for tropical development. There is a narrow window of time where Edouard may strengthen a bit before making landfall tomorrow. We'll have updates on Channel 4 at the tops of the hours, as well as more info on ... Everything still remains on track with Edouard. There has been no increase in strength as it remains a 50 mph tropical storm. It continues on a trek to the west at about 8 mph. This places the storm near 28.1 N and 90.3 W. The storm remains on a track affecting the Texas Gulf Coast near Houston on Tuesday as a strong tropical storm or a weak hurricane. Any effects on southeastern Louisiana should be minimal, including gusty winds, heavy r... Tropical Storm Edouard still remains on its forecast track, moving to the west at 9 mph and centered at 28.1 N, 90.1 W, or about 185 miles southeast of Lafayette, LA. Overnight, the storm has become slightly more organized and has strengthened just a bit, but still remains a 50 mph tropical storm. There continue to be no computer model tracks that take Edouard onshore into southeastern Louisiana. All forecast model tracks are in very good a... Tropical Storm Edouard has formed about 95 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River... tropical storm warnings are posted for Lower Plaquemines, Jefferson, Lafourche and Terrebonne parishes... as these coastal parishes could experience winds up to about 40 miles per hour. Also coastal areas east of the Mississippi could experience tides about 2 feet above normal, coastal areas west of the mouth of the Mississippi could experience ...
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is expected to fly into the area of showers and thunderstorms later today, and determine if this disturbance has the markings of a tropical depression. Currently, it is a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms about 160 miles south of Mobile Alabama.
National Hurricane Center forecast...
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LOW
There have been no significant changes on the disturbance situated to the south of Mobile Bay, in the Gulf of Mexico. It continues to remain a batch of thunderstorms with a weak surface circulation. Over the next 24 to 48 hours, this disturbance is forecast to remain over an area conducive for development. It still remains... Earlier today, a surface low developed south of the panhandle of Florida in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center marked the area of showers and thunderstorms as possible for tropical development.
The latest surface analysis has relocated the low farther to the south and west. Co... More sunshine today will give way to warmer temperatures. Afternoon highs will give way to highs in the mid 90s, with heat indices in the triple digits. As of 2pm, the heat index in Hammond was already at 113 degrees!
An upper level disturbance passed through the area yesterday, allowing for heavy thunderstorms to dev...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... |
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