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September 2007 Archives


What Happened to the Weekend Forecast???

12:35 PM Sun, Sep 30, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Yesterday, I talked about the surprise showers showing up in Saturday's forecast... and then added a chance of rain today. But, with most people expecting a nice dry weekend... an explanation is in order!

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Surprise Showers... Busy Tropics

1:32 PM Sat, Sep 29, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

A few tweaks to the official forecast this afternoon... as a couple of stray showers have shown up on our PinPoint Doppler radar. It's still a very nice day, with mostly sunny skies, drier air from the north and highs in the mid to upper 80's.

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Great Weekend Weather Ahead

3:09 PM Fri, Sep 28, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Blue skies, a light breeze, and temps in the 80s will rule the weekend. Enjoy the nice calm weather...it should stick with us for the next 5-7 days!

Tropics look quiet for us. TS Karen is expected to weaken over weekend. TD 14 could become Melissa over weekend. Both expected to stay in the Atlantic Ocean.

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TD#14 off Africa Coast... Blue Sky!!!

12:04 PM Fri, Sep 28, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Looking forward to this gorgeous weekend forecast with plenty of blue sky... still warm temperatures, but drier air. Tropical depression #14 has formed off the coast of Africa... it will move toward the middle of the Atlantic. Karen is still out in the middle of the Atlantic, and Lorenzo is dumping heavy ran on Southern Mexico after making landfall overnight.

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Nice Weekend

9:03 AM Fri, Sep 28, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Lingering coastal showers have ended this morning. The cold front has stalled over NW Lousiana. It will push through later today, bringing drier air to the region. Looks like a nice weekend. While a surface high stays to our north and an upper level trough moves just east of us, look for cool, drier air moving into the region.

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Lorenzo...Still No U.S. Threat

5:11 PM Thu, Sep 27, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

TD 13 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Lorenzo...and a fairly strong tropical storm at that.

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Front in Sight... Showers Possible

5:40 AM Thu, Sep 27, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

A cold front that will be our main weather maker over the next several days is located over Arkansas and the Ohio/Tennesse River Valleys right now. It looks like it will move through the area overnight Thursday into Friday morning. TD#13 and Karen struggling this morning. Go to our hurricane page for the latest.

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Front Coming/Tropics

3:01 PM Wed, Sep 26, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

A front is coming late Thursday night/early Friday morning. Drier air will move in during the afternoon Friday and over the weekend. Rain chances will be 30% Thursday and 20% Thursday night/Friday morning.

TD #13 will not affect the U.S. and will strengthen to TS Lorenzo. This system will move into Mexico on Friday. TS Karen may not intensify further, but will remain in the Atlantic.

Another area is being watched along and ...



10pm Update on TD 13/TS Karen

9:49 PM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


TD #13 is located about 165 miles ese of Tampico, MX moving west at 5 mph. Max winds are 30 mph. Some slow strengthening is possible and could become TS Lorenzo over the next 24 hours. It is no threat to Louisiana or any U.S. Coast.

TS Karen is located 1355 miles east of the Lesser Antilles moving wnw at 14 mph. Further strengthening is possible and at this time, it appears that Karen will remain over open water through the ...



New Tropical Depression #13

5:00 PM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


TD #13 forms in the SW Gulf of Mexico about 190 miles east of Tampico, Mexico. This system is no threat to us in Louisiana. It will slowly drift to the sw, but could strengthen to Lorenzo on Wednesday.

TS Karen will slowly strengthen well east of the Lesser Antilles, but it appears that this storm will stay out in the Atlantic Ocean and not bother any land area.

All tropical info on our hurricane page at wwltv.com

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Hurricane Hunters Investigate Gulf

12:40 PM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Air Force Reconaissance Aircraft are flying through the disturbed weather in the Gulf, and will be sending back info this afternoon...we could possibly see another depression in the SW Gulf.

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Tropical Storm Karen

5:23 AM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

T.S. Karen forms in Eastern Atlantic....no threat to land.

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TD #12 Forms

9:38 PM Mon, Sep 24, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


TD #12 forms 1700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles at 10.1N 36.2W. Winds are 35 mph and it is moving wnw at 16 mph. This system may turn more to the northwest and stay out in the Atlantic.

We are also watching a disturbance in the sw Gulf of Mexico and over the northern Lesser Antilles. Both these also can develop. The next names on the list are Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa.

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Tropics Getting Busy/Saints

4:52 PM Mon, Sep 24, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


There is still rain possible going to the Dome this evening. Some downpours still possible.

Three systems being watched in the tropics. One in the SW Gulf of Mexico and two in the Atlantic Ocean. All three can become depressions during the next day or two. We also still have Tropical Depression Jerry in the North Atlantic. The next names on the list are Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa.

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Rain...Saints...Tropics...

5:13 AM Mon, Sep 24, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

A little bit of everything weatherwise this Monday morning!

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Tropical Moisture... Saints Home Opener!

10:50 PM Sun, Sep 23, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Tailgaters may experience periods of heavy rain for the Saints home opener. Currently, there is an 80 percent chance of showers Monday afternoon. Right now, showers have let up a little bit on this Sunday evening, but the moisture continues to pile up in the central Gulf.

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Rain Chances UP!

10:45 AM Sun, Sep 23, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

The remnants of TD #10 actually gave us some nice weather Saturday as far as keeping the dry air coming in from the north. We had some isolated thunderstorms. Now that that low has tracked west... southeasterly winds are pushing tropical moisture into the region. Good chance of rain for the next couple of days.

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Coastal Thunderstorms... Rainy Workweek

10:48 PM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Coastal thunderstorms developing overnight will move into the region starting Sunday morning. Overall, the chance of thunderstorms Sunday starts off at 40 percent.

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Still Looking to the Tropics...

7:26 PM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

While TD # Ten is gone... leaving little rain over our area, the National Hurricane Center has turned its attention to another disturbance kicking up showers and thunderstorms in the Northern Caribbean/Southern Gulf near the Yucatan Peninsula. Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 94L Sunday afternoon.

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Weekend Forecast

1:57 PM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Rain chances continue to dimish this Saturday afternoon. A low pressure system, the remnants of TD #10 are moving over the area... but the moisture drawn in along with the system is limited. A few showers moving through Baton Rouge region during the start of today's game will continue to move to the south.

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Saturday Morning Update

8:55 AM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Good morning! TD #10 has been steadily dying out overnight...other than a few showers, we won't feel many effects from the storm today.

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Final Advisory on TD #10

9:52 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 10pm, the last advisory was issued on TD #10 located about 10 miles NE of Pensacola, FL at 30.6N 87.1W. Movement was to the NW at 9 mph with sustained winds of 30 mph.

All Tropical Storm Warnings and the Coastal Flood watch have been dropped.

Saturday's weather can be found on the Detailed forecast link.

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Tropical Storm warnings dropped

7:07 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Tom Planchet

From Chief Meteorologist Carl Arredondo: The Tropical Storm Warning for southeast Louisiana has been dropped. The depression is already on land and will not strengthen.

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Tropical Depression #10

7:04 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

TD #10 makes landfall near Ft. Walton Beach, FL.

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4pm TD #10

3:51 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

#10 is located at 29.9N 86.4W or 45 miles wsw of Panama City, FL or 202 miles ese of Slidell, LA. #10 is moving wnw at 9 mph with sustained winds of 35 mph. This could become Tropical Storm Jerry this evening before it makes landfall near the AL/FL border.

SE Louisiana and coastal MS could experience tropical storm force winds beginning at daybreak Saturday and continuing through the day, winds of 40-45 mph. Rainfall amounts of 2-4"...



Tropical Depression #10

12:52 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

The National Hurricane Center's latest analysis of depression #10 indicates it has become a tropical depression... otherwise no major changes since the 10am advisory.

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SubTropical Depression #10

10:36 AM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Hurricane Hunter aircraft found a low level circulation the National Hurricane Center is now calling Subtropical Depression #10. Right now, we are expecting the possibility of locally heavy rain, winds up to 40 miles per hour and tidal flooding along coastal parishes.

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10pm Tropical Update/Coastal Flood Watch

9:36 PM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from the MS/AL coast through Terrebonne parish, including Lakes Pontchartrain/Maurepas until Saturday evening. Tides will run Friday 1-2' above normal and on Saturday 2-3' above normal.

The disturbance is still not very organized. The upper low is still playing a part in the slow development of this system today. Also dry air has been drawn in today as well. This is an example that it doesn't matt...



Coastal Flood Watch

6:02 PM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from the MS/AL coast through Terrebonne parish, including Lakes Pontchartrain/Maurepas until Saturday evening. Tides will run Friday 1-2' above normal and on Saturday 2-3' above normal.

The Hurricane Hunter flew through the disturbance and did not find an organized tropical system. This area still could become a tropical or sub-tropical storm. Computer models still bring this system to the coast an...



3pm Disturbance update

3:06 PM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


AT 3PM, A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOUND A BROAD CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 115 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA. THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS YET THAT THE LOW HAS BEGUN TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER....



Models Playing Catch-Up

9:29 AM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

The models have now initialized farther southwest, where the low was developing this morning.

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Morning Disturbance Update

6:34 AM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Even though we still don't have a center of circulation just yet, lots going on this morning in the Eastern Gulf.

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10pm Tropical Discussion

9:40 PM Wed, Sep 19, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


It still appears that a surface low has moved inland north of Cape Canaveral. Some of the models have grabbed on to this low as the initial starting point. While another spin was indicated Wednesday of the SW coast of Florida and some of the models grabbed on to this location as the initial starting point. Until a clear cut center point has developed, the models don't know where to take a system that hasn't developed yet.

S...



Tropical Disturbance

5:43 PM Wed, Sep 19, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


This afternoon a couple of weak spins are noticed on satellite images. One off the SW coast of Florida in the eastern Gulf and the other off the coast of Daytona Beach in the Atlantic Ocean.

Computer models are still all over the place due to the lack of a starting point or organized system. The system may start to develop overnight or Thursday morning, then the models will have a starting point to focus on. Interests along t...



Early AM Update on Disturbance

5:43 AM Wed, Sep 19, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

This morning, not much has changed with the disturbance around the Bahamas. Models are still fairly widespread, but this disturbance needs to be monitored by those living along the Gulf Coast.

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Models uncertain on Disturbance

9:51 PM Tue, Sep 18, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

Late evening model runs show the uncertainty of where the disturbance will go. Some have it along the Eastern U.S., Panhandle of FL, SE Louisiana, Upper Texas coast,and towards Brownsville. If development happens, it will not be until Thursday when the system enters the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned to wwltv.com and Eyewitness News for the latest.

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Disturbance

2:50 PM Tue, Sep 18, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


A tropical disturbance over the Bahamas could possibly develop over the next 2-3 days and pose a threat to the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico coast. We will have to watch this system closely for some impact to us by Friday or Saturday of this week.

Stay tuned to WWL-TV, WWLTV.COM, and My 54 for further information.

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Bit More Humid

9:55 PM Mon, Sep 17, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

It will be a bit more humid Tuesday thanks to an easterly flow off the Gulf. Any chance for rain will be around 10% mainly along coastal areas.

A tropical wave is expected to move into the Gulf on Thursday from Florida and increase our chance for rain on Friday and especially Saturday & Sunday. Some computer models have the wave developing into a tropical system, but whether it develops or not, it appears that it would travel from ...



Tropical Update - Mon 9/17

11:21 AM Mon, Sep 17, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Even though the tropics are quiet right now, a few things point to possible development later in the week.

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The Tropics... Is Summer Over?

6:23 PM Sun, Sep 16, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Officially, not yet. The Autumnal Equinox takes place at 4:51am on Sunday, September 23rd. A cold front has passed through the area, bringing cooler, drier air.

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