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September 2007 Archives


What Happened to the Weekend Forecast???

12:35 PM Sun, Sep 30, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Yesterday, I talked about the surprise showers showing up in Saturday's forecast... and then added a chance of rain today. But, with most people expecting a nice dry weekend... an explanation is in order!

...



Surprise Showers... Busy Tropics

1:32 PM Sat, Sep 29, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

A few tweaks to the official forecast this afternoon... as a couple of stray showers have shown up on our PinPoint Doppler radar. It's still a very nice day, with mostly sunny skies, drier air from the north and highs in the mid to upper 80's.

...



Great Weekend Weather Ahead

3:09 PM Fri, Sep 28, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Blue skies, a light breeze, and temps in the 80s will rule the weekend. Enjoy the nice calm weather...it should stick with us for the next 5-7 days!

Tropics look quiet for us. TS Karen is expected to weaken over weekend. TD 14 could become Melissa over weekend. Both expected to stay in the Atlantic Ocean.

...



TD#14 off Africa Coast... Blue Sky!!!

12:04 PM Fri, Sep 28, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Looking forward to this gorgeous weekend forecast with plenty of blue sky... still warm temperatures, but drier air. Tropical depression #14 has formed off the coast of Africa... it will move toward the middle of the Atlantic. Karen is still out in the middle of the Atlantic, and Lorenzo is dumping heavy ran on Southern Mexico after making landfall overnight.

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Nice Weekend

9:03 AM Fri, Sep 28, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Lingering coastal showers have ended this morning. The cold front has stalled over NW Lousiana. It will push through later today, bringing drier air to the region. Looks like a nice weekend. While a surface high stays to our north and an upper level trough moves just east of us, look for cool, drier air moving into the region.

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Lorenzo...Still No U.S. Threat

5:11 PM Thu, Sep 27, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

TD 13 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Lorenzo...and a fairly strong tropical storm at that.

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Front in Sight... Showers Possible

5:40 AM Thu, Sep 27, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

A cold front that will be our main weather maker over the next several days is located over Arkansas and the Ohio/Tennesse River Valleys right now. It looks like it will move through the area overnight Thursday into Friday morning. TD#13 and Karen struggling this morning. Go to our hurricane page for the latest.

...



Front Coming/Tropics

3:01 PM Wed, Sep 26, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

A front is coming late Thursday night/early Friday morning. Drier air will move in during the afternoon Friday and over the weekend. Rain chances will be 30% Thursday and 20% Thursday night/Friday morning.

TD #13 will not affect the U.S. and will strengthen to TS Lorenzo. This system will move into Mexico on Friday. TS Karen may not intensify further, but will remain in the Atlantic.

Another area is being watched along and ...



10pm Update on TD 13/TS Karen

9:49 PM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


TD #13 is located about 165 miles ese of Tampico, MX moving west at 5 mph. Max winds are 30 mph. Some slow strengthening is possible and could become TS Lorenzo over the next 24 hours. It is no threat to Louisiana or any U.S. Coast.

TS Karen is located 1355 miles east of the Lesser Antilles moving wnw at 14 mph. Further strengthening is possible and at this time, it appears that Karen will remain over open water through the ...



New Tropical Depression #13

5:00 PM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


TD #13 forms in the SW Gulf of Mexico about 190 miles east of Tampico, Mexico. This system is no threat to us in Louisiana. It will slowly drift to the sw, but could strengthen to Lorenzo on Wednesday.

TS Karen will slowly strengthen well east of the Lesser Antilles, but it appears that this storm will stay out in the Atlantic Ocean and not bother any land area.

All tropical info on our hurricane page at wwltv.com

...



Hurricane Hunters Investigate Gulf

12:40 PM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Air Force Reconaissance Aircraft are flying through the disturbed weather in the Gulf, and will be sending back info this afternoon...we could possibly see another depression in the SW Gulf.

...



Tropical Storm Karen

5:23 AM Tue, Sep 25, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

T.S. Karen forms in Eastern Atlantic....no threat to land.

...



TD #12 Forms

9:38 PM Mon, Sep 24, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


TD #12 forms 1700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles at 10.1N 36.2W. Winds are 35 mph and it is moving wnw at 16 mph. This system may turn more to the northwest and stay out in the Atlantic.

We are also watching a disturbance in the sw Gulf of Mexico and over the northern Lesser Antilles. Both these also can develop. The next names on the list are Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa.

...



Tropics Getting Busy/Saints

4:52 PM Mon, Sep 24, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


There is still rain possible going to the Dome this evening. Some downpours still possible.

Three systems being watched in the tropics. One in the SW Gulf of Mexico and two in the Atlantic Ocean. All three can become depressions during the next day or two. We also still have Tropical Depression Jerry in the North Atlantic. The next names on the list are Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa.

...



Rain...Saints...Tropics...

5:13 AM Mon, Sep 24, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

A little bit of everything weatherwise this Monday morning!

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Tropical Moisture... Saints Home Opener!

10:50 PM Sun, Sep 23, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Tailgaters may experience periods of heavy rain for the Saints home opener. Currently, there is an 80 percent chance of showers Monday afternoon. Right now, showers have let up a little bit on this Sunday evening, but the moisture continues to pile up in the central Gulf.

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Rain Chances UP!

10:45 AM Sun, Sep 23, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

The remnants of TD #10 actually gave us some nice weather Saturday as far as keeping the dry air coming in from the north. We had some isolated thunderstorms. Now that that low has tracked west... southeasterly winds are pushing tropical moisture into the region. Good chance of rain for the next couple of days.

...



Coastal Thunderstorms... Rainy Workweek

10:48 PM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Coastal thunderstorms developing overnight will move into the region starting Sunday morning. Overall, the chance of thunderstorms Sunday starts off at 40 percent.

...



Still Looking to the Tropics...

7:26 PM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

While TD # Ten is gone... leaving little rain over our area, the National Hurricane Center has turned its attention to another disturbance kicking up showers and thunderstorms in the Northern Caribbean/Southern Gulf near the Yucatan Peninsula. Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 94L Sunday afternoon.

...



Weekend Forecast

1:57 PM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Rain chances continue to dimish this Saturday afternoon. A low pressure system, the remnants of TD #10 are moving over the area... but the moisture drawn in along with the system is limited. A few showers moving through Baton Rouge region during the start of today's game will continue to move to the south.

...



Saturday Morning Update

8:55 AM Sat, Sep 22, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Good morning! TD #10 has been steadily dying out overnight...other than a few showers, we won't feel many effects from the storm today.

...



Final Advisory on TD #10

9:52 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 10pm, the last advisory was issued on TD #10 located about 10 miles NE of Pensacola, FL at 30.6N 87.1W. Movement was to the NW at 9 mph with sustained winds of 30 mph.

All Tropical Storm Warnings and the Coastal Flood watch have been dropped.

Saturday's weather can be found on the Detailed forecast link.

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Tropical Storm warnings dropped

7:07 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Tom Planchet

From Chief Meteorologist Carl Arredondo: The Tropical Storm Warning for southeast Louisiana has been dropped. The depression is already on land and will not strengthen.

...



Tropical Depression #10

7:04 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

TD #10 makes landfall near Ft. Walton Beach, FL.

...



4pm TD #10

3:51 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

#10 is located at 29.9N 86.4W or 45 miles wsw of Panama City, FL or 202 miles ese of Slidell, LA. #10 is moving wnw at 9 mph with sustained winds of 35 mph. This could become Tropical Storm Jerry this evening before it makes landfall near the AL/FL border.

SE Louisiana and coastal MS could experience tropical storm force winds beginning at daybreak Saturday and continuing through the day, winds of 40-45 mph. Rainfall amounts of 2-4"...



Tropical Depression #10

12:52 PM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

The National Hurricane Center's latest analysis of depression #10 indicates it has become a tropical depression... otherwise no major changes since the 10am advisory.

...



SubTropical Depression #10

10:36 AM Fri, Sep 21, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Hurricane Hunter aircraft found a low level circulation the National Hurricane Center is now calling Subtropical Depression #10. Right now, we are expecting the possibility of locally heavy rain, winds up to 40 miles per hour and tidal flooding along coastal parishes.

...



10pm Tropical Update/Coastal Flood Watch

9:36 PM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from the MS/AL coast through Terrebonne parish, including Lakes Pontchartrain/Maurepas until Saturday evening. Tides will run Friday 1-2' above normal and on Saturday 2-3' above normal.

The disturbance is still not very organized. The upper low is still playing a part in the slow development of this system today. Also dry air has been drawn in today as well. This is an example that it doesn't matt...



Coastal Flood Watch

6:02 PM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect from the MS/AL coast through Terrebonne parish, including Lakes Pontchartrain/Maurepas until Saturday evening. Tides will run Friday 1-2' above normal and on Saturday 2-3' above normal.

The Hurricane Hunter flew through the disturbance and did not find an organized tropical system. This area still could become a tropical or sub-tropical storm. Computer models still bring this system to the coast an...



3pm Disturbance update

3:06 PM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


AT 3PM, A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOUND A BROAD CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 115 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA. THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS YET THAT THE LOW HAS BEGUN TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER....



Models Playing Catch-Up

9:29 AM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

The models have now initialized farther southwest, where the low was developing this morning.

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Morning Disturbance Update

6:34 AM Thu, Sep 20, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Even though we still don't have a center of circulation just yet, lots going on this morning in the Eastern Gulf.

...



10pm Tropical Discussion

9:40 PM Wed, Sep 19, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


It still appears that a surface low has moved inland north of Cape Canaveral. Some of the models have grabbed on to this low as the initial starting point. While another spin was indicated Wednesday of the SW coast of Florida and some of the models grabbed on to this location as the initial starting point. Until a clear cut center point has developed, the models don't know where to take a system that hasn't developed yet.

S...



Tropical Disturbance

5:43 PM Wed, Sep 19, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


This afternoon a couple of weak spins are noticed on satellite images. One off the SW coast of Florida in the eastern Gulf and the other off the coast of Daytona Beach in the Atlantic Ocean.

Computer models are still all over the place due to the lack of a starting point or organized system. The system may start to develop overnight or Thursday morning, then the models will have a starting point to focus on. Interests along t...



Early AM Update on Disturbance

5:43 AM Wed, Sep 19, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

This morning, not much has changed with the disturbance around the Bahamas. Models are still fairly widespread, but this disturbance needs to be monitored by those living along the Gulf Coast.

...



Models uncertain on Disturbance

9:51 PM Tue, Sep 18, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

Late evening model runs show the uncertainty of where the disturbance will go. Some have it along the Eastern U.S., Panhandle of FL, SE Louisiana, Upper Texas coast,and towards Brownsville. If development happens, it will not be until Thursday when the system enters the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned to wwltv.com and Eyewitness News for the latest.

...



Disturbance

2:50 PM Tue, Sep 18, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


A tropical disturbance over the Bahamas could possibly develop over the next 2-3 days and pose a threat to the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico coast. We will have to watch this system closely for some impact to us by Friday or Saturday of this week.

Stay tuned to WWL-TV, WWLTV.COM, and My 54 for further information.

...



Bit More Humid

9:55 PM Mon, Sep 17, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

It will be a bit more humid Tuesday thanks to an easterly flow off the Gulf. Any chance for rain will be around 10% mainly along coastal areas.

A tropical wave is expected to move into the Gulf on Thursday from Florida and increase our chance for rain on Friday and especially Saturday & Sunday. Some computer models have the wave developing into a tropical system, but whether it develops or not, it appears that it would travel from ...



Tropical Update - Mon 9/17

11:21 AM Mon, Sep 17, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Even though the tropics are quiet right now, a few things point to possible development later in the week.

...



The Tropics... Is Summer Over?

6:23 PM Sun, Sep 16, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Officially, not yet. The Autumnal Equinox takes place at 4:51am on Sunday, September 23rd. A cold front has passed through the area, bringing cooler, drier air.

...



Still Watching Ingrid... Sunny Sunday

11:09 AM Sun, Sep 16, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Another gorgeous day out there... a little cooler today as the cold front has passed through the area, and cooler, drier is moving into the region.

...



Sunday Forecast... Ingrid Still a Depression

10:30 PM Sat, Sep 15, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Mostly clear, less humid and slightly cooler for your Sunday forecast... it's a little breezy out tonight. A secondary cold front is bringing cooler, drier air in from the north.

...



4pm Ingrid ... More Weakening Expected

3:35 PM Sat, Sep 15, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

What is now tropical depression Ingrid is expected to weaken further in the next 24 hours as it continues to move into a hostile environment for tropical systems. Mostly clear, breezy and less humid conditions this weekend.

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Gorgeous Weekend... A Little Breezy

10:57 AM Sat, Sep 15, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Good Morning! It's a gorgeous weekend in S. Louisiana. A little taste of Fall. The Autumnal Equinox occurs at 4:51am our time on the Sunday, September 23rd. For more on our forecast and weakening Ingrid, click on the blog title.

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Weekend/Ingrid

9:48 PM Fri, Sep 14, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


Once the front comes through Saturday morning, drier air will filter in during the afternoon Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the mid 80's both days, but less humid.

Lows Sunday and Monday morning will be in the lower 60's north of the lake and upper 60's to lower 70's south of the lake.

10pm Friday Ingrid is barely holding on to Tropical Storm strength with winds of 40 mph. Ingrid is located 655 miles east of the...



4pm Update on Ingrid/Weekend Weather

3:51 PM Fri, Sep 14, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


Ingrid is having a hard time sustaining tropical storm strength. Ingrid is located at 15.6N 50.6W or 710 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Movement is NW at 8 mph with sustained winds of 40 mph. Ingrid is expected to continue to weaken due to shearing.

A front will be coming through Saturday morning, so rain chance will be 20% overnight and Saturday morning. Drier air will move in during the day Saturday and Sunday.

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Rainfall Estimate - Model Data

4:37 AM Fri, Sep 14, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

We had a few questions about our rainfall model data yesterday.

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Ingrid & Humberto 10pm Update

9:57 PM Thu, Sep 13, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

Tropical Depression Humberto is located at 31.8N 91.5W or 15 miles NW of Natchez. Winds are 25 mph and it is moving NE at 12 mph.

Tropical Storm Ingrid has developed 840 miles E of the Lesser Antilles at 14.7N 48.7W. Winds are 40 mph and Ingrid is moving W/NW at 6 mph.

Flood Watch continues until 7am Friday morning. 50% chance for scattered showers or thunderstorms developing through Friday. Some of the rain may be heavy....



Flood Watch 7am/Tropical Update

3:50 PM Thu, Sep 13, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 4pm Tropical Depression Humberto was located 10 miles NW of Alexandria at 31.4N 92.6W. Winds are at 35 mph and Humberto is moving to the NE at 12 mph.

Because of the rain threat, a Flood Watch is in effect until 7am Friday morning. Still a 60% chance for scattered thunderstorms after 6pm tonight.

Tropical Depression 8 is located 865 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and doesn't show signs of rapid development. 8 is loca...



FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL SE LA

10:30 AM Thu, Sep 13, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

A flood watch has been issued for all of SE LA and Southern MS. Look for heavy rainfall today and tonight as Humberto pulls off to the NE. Most rain will be light to moderate, but the occasional embedded t'storm is possible, and some areas might get over 4" of rain before it is all over tomorrow. Be sure to monitor this developing weather situation.

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Update on Humberto

8:16 AM Thu, Sep 13, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Still looking at a rainy scenario over the next few days...with Humberto pushing to the North of us, rain is a good bet today and tomorrow.

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The Latest on Hurricane Humberto

5:14 AM Thu, Sep 13, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

While you were sleeping, Humberto strengthened into a Cat 1 hurricane, and made landfall at High Island, TX around 2am. Heavy rain was spreading across Southwest Louisiana, and a tornado watch was posted for SW LA until 10am.

...



10pm Humberto strengthens

10:08 PM Wed, Sep 12, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


Humberto at 10pm has sustained winds of 65 mph and could possibly reach hurricane force before making landfall. 29.0N 94.6W or about 20 miles SSE of Galveston moving NNE at 6mph. Heavy rain of 5-15" is possible.

We in SE Louisiana may get heavy rain/thunderstorms Thursday and Friday due to Humberto's moisture.

T.D. #8 may strengthen on Thursday to T.S. Ingrid. See our Hurricane page for more information.

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4pm Tropical Update

4:17 PM Wed, Sep 12, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


At 4pm, T.S. Humberto is located 50 miles south of Galveston moving north at 7 mph. It is located at 28.6N 94.9W with sustained winds at 50 mph. Humberto may strengthen slightly before making landfall. Very heavy rain is the biggest threat with 5-15" possible.

T.D. #8 is located just over 1000 miles from the Lesser Antilles at 13.5N 45.5W moving w/nw at 12 mph. Sustained winds are at 35 mph. This system will likely become I...



T.S. Humberto, TD# 8 both forming today

1:04 PM Wed, Sep 12, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

As of 1pm, Humberto was born in the Northwestern Gulf. It is moving North at 6mph, and is expected to continue that track. There is a chance that we could see some rain from Humberto, just depending on the future track, so keep an eye on this one.

TD 8 is out in the Atlantic, and is too far out to speculate where it might go. It will continue a westerly track through the weekend, possibly strengthening into Ingrid later today or tomorr...



TD# 8 forms in Atlantic, TD #9 near TX Coast

9:42 AM Wed, Sep 12, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

It's getting active in the tropics again...TD #8 has formed east of the Lesser Antilles. It is moving west, and is forecast to become a tropical storm. A tropical depression in the NW Gulf is being monitored for possible development into a tropical storm later today...it is going to bring squalls and showers to the Houston area for the next two days. Our only effects should be higher than normal tides west of the Mississippi River.

...



Possible Depression off Texas Coast

7:48 AM Wed, Sep 12, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

We've been watching showers and storms move into Texas this morning, and it appears that the system has become a bit better organized. I wouldn't be surprised to see a depression form later today or tonight. An airforce reconnaissance aircraft is going to explore the area later today for more info. Regardless of whether it becomes a depression or not, heavy rain is expected in Texas and SW Louisiana over the next few days.

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Spotty T'storms Overnight

4:52 PM Tue, Sep 11, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

Spotty thunderstorms still possible overnight. Rainfall amounts of 1.46" at Audubon and Holy Name of Jesus School in Uptown. 1.40" in River Ridge and 1.00" at St Matthews School in River Ridge. 1.66 at Lakefront Airport and .86" at Christian Brothers School in City Park.

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Downpours Likely during 3pm to 4:30pm

3:16 PM Tue, Sep 11, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

Heavy thunderstorms moving into Jefferson & Orleans parishes during the 3pm hours may produce enough downpours for street flooding.

Rain & thunderstorms will be more likely the next 3 days.

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Mid-Way Through the Hurricane Season

1:07 PM Tue, Sep 11, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

The second week of September is the peak of the hurricane season, and so far we've had a calm one here in the Gulf South.

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Gabrielle Weakening/Wet Week

3:40 PM Mon, Sep 10, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


Tropical Depression Gabrielle continues to weaken and move away from the East Coast. See our Hurricane Page for more info. Another disturbance halfway between Africa & Windward Islands could develop the next couple of days.

T'Storms will continue to develop this week. Rain chances 50% for Tue and 60% for Wed - Fri.

...



Stray Coastal Shower... Wet Week?

6:16 PM Sun, Sep 09, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Mostly clear and dry across the area today, with just one coastal shower popping up SE of Plaquemines Parish on the Pinpoint Doppler radar.

...



Gabrielle moves onshore in the Carolinas

11:18 AM Sun, Sep 09, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Our live Pinpoint Network is catching rain bands from Gabrielle moving into Carolinas Outer Banks, and our WeatherBug sites show winds up to 25 miles per hour in some locations. As far as our forecast...

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Drier Sunday... Tropical Storm Gabrielle

6:50 PM Sat, Sep 08, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Sunday looks hot and humid with less of a chance of showers than your Saturday forecast. Gabrielle is now a tropical storm, continuing to move toward North Carolina.

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Weekend Forecast... LSU Forecast

1:20 PM Sat, Sep 08, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

It looks like we'll see more showers this Saturday than Sunday, overall hot and humid and temperatures in the 90s. Drier air is in the extended outlook.

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10pm SubTropical Storm Gabrielle

9:55 PM Fri, Sep 07, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 10pm, SubTropical Storm Gabrielle was located at 30.4N 72.2W or 385 miles southeast of Cape Lookout, NC moving to the west-northwest at 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 45 mph. Interests along the mid-Atlantic seaboard need to pay attention to a landfall on Sunday.

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Amazing Story of Hurricane Hunter in Hugo 1989

5:38 PM Fri, Sep 07, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


An amazing account of what could have been the loss of a Hurricane Hunter plane in trouble while flying through Category 5 Hugo in 1989.

Scary Hugo Mission

...



Possible TD forming off the Carolinas

7:51 AM Fri, Sep 07, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

The area of low pressure in the Atlantic is looking better organized today, and a hurricane hunter is flying through there later today. The area is expected to drift Northwest and bring rain and wind to the mid-Atlantic this weekend.

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Report from Hurricane Hunter Mission through Category 5 Felix

8:37 PM Thu, Sep 06, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


Click on the blog to see report of a Hurricane Hunter Mission flying through Felix when it was a category 5 hurricane.

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Rain Chances Going Back Up!

3:55 PM Thu, Sep 06, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


Rain chances for Friday going back up to scattered (50%). Some thunderstorms may be heavy. Highs will be in the upper 80's to low 90's.

Area of low pressure off southeastern U.S. still being monitored for tropical or subtropical development.

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Thursday Weather/Tropics

8:45 PM Wed, Sep 05, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


A Hurricane Hunter flew into the non tropical low pressure area off the Southeastern coast and did not find a tropical system or a subtropical system yet. Upper level winds are not that favorable yet, but could become so in a day or so. Interest along the Eastern seaboard need to watch this system.

Thursday should have a few afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Rain chances about 40% with highs in the lower 90's.

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Felix Now a Depression, Heavy Rain Threat

4:48 AM Wed, Sep 05, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Felix has further weakened this morning, down to a tropical depression with winds of 30 mph. The big threat now will be heavy rain across a good portion of Honduras, Guatamala, and Mexico. Some flooding is expected with rainfall totals up to 25 inches.

...



Felix Continues to Weaken: 10pm Update

9:42 PM Tue, Sep 04, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 10pm, Tropical Storm Felix is located at 14.1N 85.7W with winds of 50mph. Felix is moving west at 12 mph. Heavy rains, mudslides, and flooding will be the main threat over Central America.

Expect a 40% chance for afternoon showers or thunderstorms on Wednesday. Highs will be in the lower 90's.

...



Felix Weakening

3:58 PM Tue, Sep 04, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo


At 4pm, Hurricane Felix is located at 14.2N 85.0W or 110 miles west Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua. Felix is a category 1 hurricane with winds of 75 mph. Movement is west at 14 mph. Heavy rainfall will be the problem now causing mudslides and flooding. Rainfall amounts could total 20-25" in some area of Central America.

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Dr. Gray's September Update

10:53 AM Tue, Sep 04, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Dr. Gray has updated his hurricane forecast yet again, and he is now calling for 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 intense hurricanes for the entire season.

He lowered the number of hurricanes from 8 to 7. He also said that he is now going to count Subtropical Storm Andrea in the list of named storms for the 2007 season.

...



4am Felix Update/Tuesday Weather

5:15 AM Tue, Sep 04, 2007 |
Laura Buchtel

Felix is gaining strength again...now a strong Cat 4 storm. Here in Louisiana, we won't be feeling Felix's effects, but we will be looking at scattered thunderstorms this afternoon.

...



10pm Felix Update/Tuesday Weather

9:58 PM Mon, Sep 03, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 10pm, Hurricane Felix is located 145 miles east/southeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios at 14.4N 81.1W. Winds are at 135 mph still a strong category 4 hurricane moving west at 20 mph.

Felix will come onshore around daybreak near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras and continue inland. Felix may stay over land and continue to weaken.

Scattered thunderstorms expected for Tuesday again with highs around 90.

...



4pm Hurricane Felix

3:53 PM Mon, Sep 03, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

At 4pm, Felix is located at 14.3N 79.5W or 250 miles east of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Maximum sustained winds are 145 mph, a category 4 hurricane still moving west now at 20 mph.

Felix will stay well south of the Gulf of Mexico and is no threat to Louisiana.

...



Felix weakens some...

2:17 PM Mon, Sep 03, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

Hurricane Felix is now a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 145 mph about 300 miles east of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. It is at 14.2N 78.7W moving west at 21 mph. Winds are down to 145 mph.

...



Labor Day and the Tropics....

5:09 AM Mon, Sep 03, 2007 |

A very summer-like weather pattern will continue today.

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Hurricane Felix... Labor Day forecast

10:06 PM Sun, Sep 02, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

As I said in the last blog, Hurricane Felix exploded today from at category 1 storm at 1am Sunday morning into a category 5 storm late Sunday. Crossing the open waters of the Caribbean Sea have allowed for this rapid intensification.

...



Felix - Category 5 Hurricane

7:09 PM Sun, Sep 02, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Crossing the warm waters of the central Caribbean, Felix has exploded from a category one hurricane early this morning into a category 5 hurricane in less than 24 hours. Current coordinates 13.8 N, 72.9 W, moving WNW at 18 miles per our. Max. sustained winds 165, pressure, 934 mb. No significant changes to track.

...



Hurricane Felix Strengthens Again

3:56 PM Sun, Sep 02, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Hurricane Hunter aircraft measure 140 mile per hour winds during the latest fly through Felix this afternoon, the storm is now a category 4 on the Saffir Simpson scale. This rapid intensification wasn't ruled out, as the storm is passing over warm waters of the central Caribbean Sea. No significant changes to the track.

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Felix a Major Hurricane... Sunday Forecast

12:55 PM Sun, Sep 02, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Hurricane Felix's maximum sustained winds are 125 miles per hour. The storm is now a dangerous category 3 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale as it makes its way WNW toward possibly Central American in the Caribbean Sea. Gulf Coast residents need to monitor the storm in the 5 day outlook; next Wednesday and Thursday.

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10am Hurricane Felix... Sunday Showers

10:04 AM Sun, Sep 02, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Hurricane Felix is more organized this morning. It continues on a path toward the tip of Honduras and the Yucatan Peninsula, before re-emerging in the Western Gulf of Mexico possibly Thursday. Coordinates: 13.2 N, 70.1 W, max. sustained winds 105 mph, pressure 980 mb, moving WNW at 18 mph.

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7am Hurricane Felix

8:13 AM Sun, Sep 02, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

AT 7:00 AM THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH OF SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARUBA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL BE PASSING JUST NORTH OF ARUBA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND INTO THE OPEN WATE...



Hurricane Felix ... Sunday Rain?

10:43 PM Sat, Sep 01, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Current coordinates of Hurricane Felix: 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST, 210 MILES EAST OF ARUBA. MOVING WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH. PRESSURE: 993 mb.

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Hurricane Felix... Labor Day Forecast

7:29 PM Sat, Sep 01, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Hurricane hunters found Felix has strengthened into a category one hurricane. The latest from the National Hurricane Center has Felix at 12.6 N, 63.0 W, moving West at 18 miles per hour about 270 east of Aruba. Max. sustained winds of 75 miles per hour and minimal central pressure of 993 mb.

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Heavy Thunderstorms!... Felix Update

4:18 PM Sat, Sep 01, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Lightning and heavy rain from metro area thunderstorms will continue to affect portions of the French Quarter, Uptown, the Westbank, and Chalmette for the next hour until about 5:30.

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1pm Felix Advisory... THUNDERSTORMS!

12:54 PM Sat, Sep 01, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

Tropical Storm Felix continues its westerly track in the SE Caribbean Sea. Coordinates: 12.5 N, 64.5 W, moving West at 18 miles per hour. Pressure: 999mb, Max. sustained winds 70 miles per hour.

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10am Update... Tropical Storm Felix

10:08 AM Sat, Sep 01, 2007 |
Dawn Brown

What was tropical depression #6 has been upgraded to tropical storm Felix. Current coordinates 12.3 N, 63.6 W, moving West at 18 miles per hour. Minimal central pressure 1001 mb. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 65 mph.

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7am Tropical Storm Felix

9:24 AM Sat, Sep 01, 2007 |
Carl Arredondo

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GRENADA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH. ALL COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE FELIX TOWARDS CENTRAL AMERICA OR THE YUCATAN PENISULA.

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