Ernesto weakens more this evening, hurricane hunter aircraft shows a maximum sustained winds of 50 miles per hour as of 7pm our time. However, warm water between Haiti and Cuba could allow the storm to intensify overnight and into tomorrow morning. Latest satellite images show signs of improvement in the storms organization. However, this could be short lived as Ernesto then interacts with terrain over Cuba. Intensity forecasts may vary over the next few days.

However, the track forecast is lining up more and more to the east with models continuing to put the storm on the West Coast of Florida. Upper level steering patterns over the United States continue to put the storm on a more easterly track.

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