What I mean by that is that the track has only been off by a few degrees (ie a small angle) but that means that instead of being out over the open Atlantic by about 40 miles the storm has hugged the coast. With only part of the circulation out over water it just hasn't been able to develop more strength. Now it will take a track back northwestward across the Florida Peninsula and it is another close call as to what happens in a couple of days as it gets back near the border between Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. Today's computer runs are keeping the storm many dozens of miles farther south than yesterday. If that trend continues it may well end up back over the Gulf and turn into a stronger storm or a hurricane. Right now there is no way to tell for sure what is going to happen, but the bottom line is the storm will need to be closely monitored, and all interests in the Gulf should be aware that a small change in track could mean a big change in the intensity (just like today's small track change !)