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Joe Arnold
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OUCH -- KY revenue off $100m+ from last April

11:30 PM Mon, May 11, 2009 |
Joe Arnold

General Fund receipts declined 12.1 percent
Road Fund receipts declined 4.2 percent

FRANKFORT, KY (Monday, May 11, 2009) - The Office of State Budget Director
reported today that April's General Fund receipts were down 12.1 percent compared to April of last year. Total revenues for the month were $826.7 million, compared to $940.6 million during April 2008. Through the first 10 months of the fiscal year, receipts are down 1.6 percent.
Through the first 9 months of the fiscal year, receipts were flat compared to a year earlier.
The November 2008 revised revenue forecast by the Commonwealth's Consensus
Revenue Forecasting Group, as modified by legislation, called for a 2.1 percent decline for the entire fiscal year. Receipts can decline only 4.6 percent over the last two months of the fiscal year in order to hit the official estimate.
Road Fund receipts for April totaled $108.7 million, a 4.2 percent decrease from April
2008 levels. Year-to-date receipts are down 6.5 percent.
State Budget Director Mary Lassiter noted how quickly the revenue situation has
changed. "While the 12.1 percent decline in April General Fund collections is significant, it was anticipated that the fourth fiscal quarter of FY09 would be negative due to the significant growth in the same quarter last year. The General Fund went from essentially flat in March to an overall year-to-date rate of decline of 1.6 percent in a single month.

This volatility highlights the seriousness of the overall budget situation and how consequential receipts will be in the remaining two months of the fiscal year."
Among the major accounts:
• Sales and use tax receipts were up 1.1 percent for the month and are up 0.2 percent
for the year.
• Corporation income tax receipts were off 12.2 percent for the month and are down
36.6 percent for the year.
• Individual income tax collections fell 23.7 percent in April and are down 3.5 percent
thus far in FY09.
• Property tax collections decreased 16.1 percent for the month and are up 2.1 percent
through the first 10 months of the fiscal year.
• Cigarette tax receipts increased 46.1 percent in April but are down 1.3 percent for the
year. The floor stocks tax that was part of the law changes in tobacco products
brought in an additional $7.3 million in April.
• Coal severance tax receipts increased 18.7 percent in April and 29.3 percent year-todate.
Road Fund receipts fell 4.2 percent in April with collections of $108.7 million. The officially revised Road Fund estimates, as modified by legislation, call for a decline in revenues of 2.7 percent for the fiscal year. Based on year-to-date tax collections, revenues would need to increase 16.6 percent for the remainder of FY09 to meet the estimate. April was the fourteenth consecutive month that the Road Fund has declined as motor vehicle usage tax receipts continue to hamper Road Fund growth. Year-to-date receipts in that account, the 6 percent tax on the sale of vehicles, are $61.9 million less than at this time a year ago.
Among the accounts, motor fuels increased 7.1 percent and has posted annual growth of 1.6 percent in the first 10 months of FY09. Motor vehicle usage revenue was off 26.4 percent in April and has fallen 18.3 percent this year. License and privilege receipts grew 4.8 percent in April but have fallen 4.1 percent through the first 10 months of the fiscal year.
Lassiter commented that a request has been issued to the Consensus Forecasting Group for an official revision of FY 10 General Fund and Road Fund revenue estimates, and that planning estimates have been requested for both funds for FY 11 and FY 12. The meeting dates for the Consensus Forecasting Group have been set by the Legislative Research Commission for May 18 and 29.



1 Comments

Jim Anderson Stivers said:

If you take time to read the long essay above you will clearly see the stealth movement by the press to carry the GOVERNOR'S "WOE IS ME MESSAGE."

I wonder, did many read the column by Larry Dale Keeling in the Herald Leader this past Sunday?
The Herald Leader reporter has bought into the idea of a diminishing horse breeding situation in Kentucky. And that is probably true. Like GM cars there is TOO MUCH INVENTORY THAT WON'T SELL.

Putting the gambling monkey on the back of the lower income citizens is pretty low down and cowardly. Increase the Revenue on the lower scale and the upper scale who underrepresented on their taxes by some forty percent, those that make over $250 K per year will welcome you.

Here is my reply to Larry Dale Keeling.

May 12, 2009 at 8:48 am

Larry Dale,

Did I see you at the ten dollar window at Keenland this past month?

It would seem to me as responsible journalism it would be intelligent to at least once show your readers the down side of gambling.

You don’t do that. Yours is not an untainted view. You cling to the idea spread by breeders and the track owners.

FACT: KENTUCKY WILL NOT LOOSE ITS PLACE IN HORSE BREEDING. You can spread this all you want but the simple truth is you are concerned about the less than attractive race tracks which you write about often.

And if the REAL TRUTH be known BREEDING OF ANY KIND OF LIVE STOCK is a business. Present the best and it will be purchased. Maybe, Larry Dale, maybe there are too many breeders with less than desirable lines that can not make enough money to compete.

In case you didn’t do any GOOGLE all betting is down. It is the ECONOMY STUPID. Always has been, always will be.

With syndication HORSE RACING changed a long time ago. Now the real KINGS OF THE SPORT are buying up the outstanding stock at unheard of prices. Sure their sale are down, but like other markets when the competition gets critical, then it may be time to change your marketing structure. I really wonder if the cancellations at Churchill is not just ANOTHER WAY of supporting the SLOTS ISSUE?

It certainly would be an aid to allowing our state to infect 100,000 Kentucky citizens with compulsive gambling. This thing is real Mr. Keeling, and you know it. Wonder what happened to the typewriter of Bill Reid. Last time I read he was "gunge ho" for gambling. Are you the new hustler for the Horse Industry MR. KEELING? Reid was not able to convince the public. But you keep trying.

You may claim gambling compulsion is not your problem. Well, it sure it not your problem if you publish as least some of the facts about what happens when gambling takes over in any state.

THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE REPORTS . . . “GAMBLING IS THE NUMBER ONE MENTAL HEALTH ISSUE IN THE UNITED STATES.”

EVERY STATE THAT HAS CASINOS HAS HAD TO INCREASE TAXES WHEN REVENUE RAN OUT FOR GAMBLING WEN DOWN.

If it likely the slots bill will not pass. However, our Governor and this staff are doing their best to create the image of the huge downfall in revenue to Kentucky. Guess what, Mr. Keeling, all sales are down right now. It’s the economy. *&^%%

If you really want to be A WINNER Mr. Keeling I suggest you buy some BYD or MGM Grand gambling stock.It’s low right now, and if you hold it long enough you make more, eventually, don’t know when if the gambling market improves.

Journalistic prizes go to those who tell both sides of an issue and let the public decide from the FACTS that are printed.

See you at the TRACK , Mr. Keeling. See you at the CLUBHOUSE.

I just wanna say!

Jim Anderson Stivers
Frankfort, KY.



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