The poll shows Yarmuth leading 53%-43% in a poll taken July 18-20. Most of Northup's momentum is coming from white voters where she now leads Yarmuth by one point. That's a switch from June when Yarmuth was leading Northup by 7% among white voters. Northup isn't leading among any of the four different age groups but she's closest among voters age 35-49 where Yarmuth leads 49%-48%. Yarmuth has a nine point lead among men and an 11 point lead among women.

Northup says voters are realizing that Yarmuth's policy of "no drilling" for oil in ANWR and some areas off shore is keeping gas prices high. Yarmuth says voters are smart enough to realize that authorizing drilling in those areas right now won't affect what they're paying at the pump until years from now, a notion Northup disputes. Yarmuth says the 10 point margin in the Survey USA poll is about on target with his internal polls which show he's ahead by 11. Northup says the Survey USA polls have been underestimating republicans across the country and her own polling shows a dead heat with Yarmuth.