The Survey USA/WHAS11 poll shows Davis leading 54%-41% in the district that runs from Oldham County to Ashland. Kelley has raised little money and has little name recognition. He does lead among young voters ages 18-34 (49%-46%) but that's it. Davis is winning by a whopping 62%-35% among likely voters over 65 years old. Those who identified themselves as independents made up 10% of the polling sample and were about evenly split between the two candidates.