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Political BLOG |
 June 2008
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A new poll from Rasmussen shows Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Bruce Lunsford leading Sen. Mitch McConnell. The same poll shows John McCain leading Barack Obama by 25 points in Kentucky. According to Rasmussen, that means one-third of voters who plan to vote for McCain, wouldn't vote for his republican colleague, McConnell. A spokesman for McConnell's campaign says the Rasmussen poll isn't reputable. According to Justin Brasell "National Journal refuses to print Rasmussen polls, yet Democrat leaders will trumpet bogus polls like this one in a futile effort to create a false sense of momentum for the hand-picked candidate of New York Senator Chuck Schumer and the DSCC." And according to the Lexington Herald-Leader, two Washington-based political watchers are dismissing the Rasmussen poll. Meanwhile, Brasell says McConnell's own poll shows the republican senator leading Lunsford by 11%. That poll was taken in the 48 hours after the primary election according to a news release. As you might expect, Lunsford's campaign is downplaying the McConnell internal poll. This is from Lunsford spokeswoman Allison Haley: Here is the our official statement regarding the internal poll released today by the McConnell campaign. "It's certainly mysterious that this poll shows McConnell's job approval so much higher than several independent polls in the past few weeks. But despite appearing heavily weighted to his supporters, McConnell's own polling affirms the trend favors Bruce even after McConnell spent $3 million running against an unknown truck driver. There will be a lot of polls this year but the bottom line is that McConnell is in trouble, he knows it, and this race will be competitive until the end."
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WHAS11.com Political Blog
WHAS11 Reporters blog the latest political news from the campaign trail and beyond. 
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no mention of the terrible beshear ratings there?
who's going to report that?
The poll that every democrat is citing as the beginning of the end for Mitch is wrong. As you know according to exit polls George W. Bush had lost the 2004 election, but we know how that turned out. This poll is erroneous. Less than two weeks ago the Herald-Leader had a poll that had Mitch winning by 11 points. Can anybody name an act that has occurred in the last week that suggests a 15 point movement in the polls?
Also, 81,000 Democrats in the May 20th primary abstained from voting in the Senate Primary because they did not have a good candidate. Or maybe because the Republicans have a better one.
I find the polls a bit odd because Mitch is so deep rooted. He has showered Kentuckians with enough pork that we should all have clogged arteries and our joints throbbing with gout. Considering how Mitch has done well with bringing home the bacon, it surprises me a bit that he could be vulnerable.
On the other hand however, it could be that the ongoing war for oil/war on fear, soaring gas prises, jobs evaporating, escalating college costs, roadblocking legislation, people losing homes in record numbers, the middle class sliding into poverty while yachts and Mercedes can't be made fast enough for the elite, and a basically dysfunction government,,,,,,,,is trumping that sweet tasting pork we've been enjoying. Mitch is directly responsible or liable for many of the problems as he has stood firmly side by side with Bush on most every issue. Bush has a rating in the low 30s at best. Bush and McConnell have been pro war, pro wealthy, anti worker, and pro oil, everything that now has the blue collar workers (about 70%-see the connection?) angry and scared. Maybe working Kentucky voters are starting to understand that the Bush/McConnell reverse Robin Hood objectives will ultimately leave them with nothing. While this administration's thinking seem to be that the village must be destroyed in order to be saved, the voters are showing (as they did in 08) that they are not interested in being part of that demise. Perhaps the Rasmussen numbers are within reason. We'll see.