The new poll shows Lunsford ahead of Fischer 43%-18%. That means Fischer is up 9 % over two weeks ago and Lunsford is down 4%. Among the other five candidates in the democratic race, the only other viable candidate, Michael Cassaro, is polling at 3%, below Rice, Stepp and David Lynn Williams. For some unexplained reason, Survey USA included a category of "other" candidates, even though there aren't any. The "other" category got 12% of the vote so the overall results are skewed.

But here's the guts of the Survey USA poll: Lunsford is hemorraging male voters and those who are 50 and older. Fischer has pulled within 21 points among men and 21 points among voters 50 and older. Those TV ads reminding voters of Lunsford's ties to some troubled Vencor nursing homes aren't very good ads, in my opinion, but they may be working. My guess is that Fischer's more positive ads where a soft spoken candidate introduces himself to voters may be having a greater impact, because the poll was taken over the weekend and the nasty anti-Lunsford ads just began running Friday night.

The problem for Fischer is that only 21% of the likely democratic voters who were polled said they might change their mind between now and election day, May 20th. Here are the poll results.