Projo Politics Blog

Brown poll: McCain cuts into Obama's lead

1:54 PM Mon, Sep 22, 2008 |
By Andrea Panciera    Email this author |   Email this entry

Seventy percent of registered voters in Rhode Island think the state has gone off in the wrong direction, according to a survey conducted by Brown University.

The survey results, which are based on a random sample of 652 voters in the state, have an error margin of plus or minus 3.8 percent.

Democrat Sen. Barack Obama's lead in the presidential race is also down 7 points to a 13-point lead over Republican Sen. John McCain, according to the poll, which was conducted by the Taubman Center for Public Policy on Sept. 15-16.

According to the poll, 47 percent of registered voters would vote for Obama while 34 percent would vote for McCain. About 19 percent of voters are undecided.

But no matter who they vote for, those surveyed say they will go to the polls in large numbers. Ninety-one percent say they are very likely to vote in this year's presidential election while less than 2 percent say they are "not at all likely."

When asked about running mates, 74 percent of respondents said they believed Democratic vice presidential nominee Sen. Joe Biden had the experience necessary to become president if necessary.

Thirty-three percent believed Republican VP candidate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, had the necessary experience.

Click below to find out what respondents thought about illegal immigration and local politicians.

(Not in the order asked)

Immigration and Customs Enforcement has recently started workplace raids in an effort to crack down on businesses that hire undocumented immigrants, arresting scores of workers and their employers. Bishop Tobin and many other clergy nationwide have asked the ICE to stop workplace raids. Do you think that ICE should continue their practice of workplace raids or should they stop these raids?


Continue raids 56.3%; Stop raids 30.7%; Depends 8.7%; Don¹t know/No answer 4.3%

How likely are you to vote in this year¹s presidential election? Very likely 91.5%; Somewhat likely 3.4%; Not very likely 2.5%; Not at all likely 1.9%; No answer .9%

Thinking about this year¹s presidential election, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view? Statement A: This is a time when it is important to look for a more experienced and tested person even if he brings fewer changes to the current policies. Statement B: This is a time when it is important to look for a person who will bring greater changes to the current policies even if he is less experienced and tested.
Statement A 35.2%; Statement B 55.0%; Depends (voluntary) 2.8%; Not sure 5.3%; Don¹t know/No answer 1.7%

If the next election for president were held today, would you vote for 1) Republican John McCain or 2) Democrat Barack Obama? John McCain 34.0%; Barack Obama 47.4%; Depends (voluntary) 4.6%; Neither/other (voluntary) 7.1%; Don¹t know/No answer 6.9%

When it comes to your vote for [Question 3 choice] would you say that you are excited to be voting for him, you are satisfied to be voting for him, or you are voting for him as the lesser of two evils? Excited 37.3%; Satisfied 31.5%; Lesser of two evils 18.4%; Not sure 4.8%; Don¹t know/No answer 8.0%
Did you vote in the Democratic primary for president? Yes 47.0%; No 51.2%; Don¹t know/No answer 1.8%

For whom did you vote in the primary, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, or someone else? Barack Obama 41.1%; Hillary Clinton 46.1%; Someone else 4.7%; Not sure 2.1%

Do you think Bill and Hillary Clinton are spending enough time and effort to help Barack Obama win the election? Yes 37.6%; No 29.2%; Not sure 20.5%; Don¹t know/No answer 12.7%

Regardless of your vote preference, does Barak Obama¹s choice of Senator Joe Biden as his running mate make you more confident or less confident in the kinds of decisions he would make as president? More confident 54.0%; No affect 15.2%; Less confident 22.8%; Don¹t know/No answer 8.0%

Regardless of your vote preference, does John McCain¹s choice of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate make you more confident or less confident in the kinds of decisions he would make as president? More confident 34.8%; No affect 11.7%; Less confident 45.8%; Don¹t know/No answer 7.7%

10. Do you think Alaska Governor Sarah Palin does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president, if that become necessary? Yes 33.8%; No 53.4%; Not sure 9.0%; Don¹t know/No answer 3.8%
Do you think Senator Joe Biden does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president, if that become necessary? Yes 74.3%; No 13.7%; Not sure 8.1%; Don¹t know/No answer 3.9%

How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as president?
Excellent 1.4%; Good 10.9%; Only fair 23.6%; Poor 62.2%; Don¹t know/No answer 1.9

How would you rate the job Jack Reed is doing as U.S. senator? Excellent 31.2%; Good 36.8%; Only fair 20.9%; Poor 6.7%; Don¹t know/No answer 4.4%

How would you rate the job Sheldon Whitehouse is doing as U.S. senator?
Excellent 10.0%; Good 36.2%; Only fair 28.1%; Poor 14.0%; Don¹t know/No answer


How would you rate the job Patrick Kennedy is doing as U.S.
representative? Excellent 11.1%; Good 35.6%; Only fair 26.6%; Poor 20.2%; Don¹t

How would you rate the job Jim Langevin is doing as U.S. representative?
Excellent 12.7%; Good 38.5%; Only fair 23.3%; Poor 8.2%; Don¹t know/No answer 17.3%

How would you rate the job Don Carcieri is doing as governor? Excellent 13.0%; Good 26.3%; Only fair 24.9%; Poor 32.8%; Don¹t know/No answer 3.0%


How would you rate the job Elizabeth Roberts is doing as lieutenant governor? Excellent 2.5%; Good 21.5%; Only fair 29.4%; Poor 14.5%; Don¹t know/No answer 32.1%

How would you rate the job Patrick Lynch is doing as attorney general?
Excellent 9.9%; Good 42.2%; Only fair 27.5%; Poor 12.1%; Don¹t know/No answer 8.3%

How would you rate the job Ralph Mollis is doing as secretary of state?
Excellent 3.8%; Good 20.3%; Only fair 26.5%; Poor 10.2%; Don¹t know/No answer 39.2%


How would you rate the job Frank Caprio, Jr. is doing as general treasurer? Excellent 9.9%; Good 30.4%; Only fair 21.4%; Poor 4.5%; Don¹t know/No answer 34.8%

22. How would you rate the job William Murphy is doing as House speaker?
Excellent 2.0%; Good 14.9%; Only fair 23.6%; Poor 18.4%; Don¹t know/No answer 41.1%

23. How would you rate the job Joseph Montalbano is doing as Senate president? Excellent 1.6%; Good 11.6%; Only fair 22.2%; Poor 22.1%; Don¹t know/No answer 42.5%

24. How would you rate the job David Cicilline is doing as mayor of Providence? Excellent 9.1%; Good 36.9%; Only fair 24.9%; Poor 18.2%; Don¹t know/No answer 10.9%

25. Generally speaking, would you say things in Rhode Island are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction 16.4%; Off on wrong track 69.9%; Mixed 11.1%; Don¹t know/No answer 2.6%

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