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September 10, 2007

Poll: Clinton keeps lead; Carcieri's rating plunges

PROVIDENCE -- Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton slightly widened her lead among likely Rhode Island Democratic primary voters, while President Bush's job approval remains where it was in January, at 16 percent, according to the latest Brown University poll taken from a statewide sample of voters.

But Governor Carcieri's job approval numbers dropped considerably from the last poll: 44 percent of all surveyed said they feel he is doing a good job, compared to 59 percent in January.

And asked if they believed it is a good or bad idea for former Providence Mayor Vincent A. Cianci Jr. to host a radio talk show, 57 percent said it was a good idea, 23 percent a bad idea and 20 percent were unsure.

Would Cianci's felony conviction make them more likely, about the same, or less likely to listen to what he says? The results were, respectively: 12 percent, 51 percent and 22 percent. Fifteen percent said they didn't know.

The poll, conducted Sept. 8 and 9, surveyed a total of 571 registered Rhode Island voters. Some questions were geared to a more select group. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

If the Democratic primary was held today, 35 percent of the 380 voters who said they were likely to vote in the primary would vote for Clinton, up 2 percentage points from January.

Sixteen percent said they would vote for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, 7 percent for John Edwards, 3 percent for Delaware Sen. Joe Biden, 2 percent for New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, 1 percent each for Connecticut's Sen. Chistopher Dodd and Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich, and 0 percent for Mike Gravel. Thirty-five percent were undecided.


-- projo.com staff writer Michael P. McKinney

In the last Brown University poll, done on Jan. 27, 33 percent of 341 voters who said they were likely to vote in the 2008 Democratic primary said they'd support Clinton, with 15 percent for Obama, 8 percent for Edwards, 4 percent for Biden, 2 percent for Dodd, 1 percent each for Richardson and former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, and 0 percent for Kucinich. Thirty-six percent were undecided.

Thirty-one percent of those polled said they believe the state is headed in the right direction -- a drop from 50 percent in January's poll. Fifty-seven percent now believe it's on the wrong track compared to 34 percent in January.

Sixty-four percent said Providence Mayor David N. Cicilline was doing a good job, down from 67 percent in the last survey. Twenty-one percent said House Speaker William Murphy was doing a good job, down from 26 percent, and 16 percent said Senate President Joseph Montalbano was doing a good job, a three percentage-point drop.

In an issue related to Montalbano, who has been fighting state ethics allegations against him, 67 percent of those polled said state lawmakers should be subject to ethics rules concerning how they vote. Eighteen percent said they should not be subject to the rules on votes and 15 percent were unsure, the poll showed.

Lt. Governor Elizabeth Roberts saw her numbers increase: 37 percent said she is doing a good job compared to 28 percent in the last poll. And Attorney General Patrick C. Lynch's job approval rose to 48 percent from 40 percent in January. Twenty-three percent said Secretary of State Ralph Mollis is doing a good job, up from 19 percent, and 37 percent believe Treasurer Frank Caprio Jr. is doing a good job, a 15 percentage-point increase from January.

Posted by Mike McKinney  at 1:31 PM | Permalink

Comments

Why do all Rhode Island Political Polls seem to derive from Brown University, Brown likely has the whackiest Professory in the Higher Education Industry.
They are convincing students that We Americans should be supporting other Countrys to enable them to be able to buy out good and the let The Rich Graduate Alumni get Richer !
it's all a Sick Farce..

Jake | September 10, 2007 4:01 PM link


With the state bankruptcy scheduled for 1.5 to 2.5 years from now and the next terror attach within the same time frame what will you squirmy liberals do? Who will you blame?

I live to see the "so called" moderates turn into raging chest thumping right wingers turning on the liberals, the left, the unions and the government establishment. Their last strangled cry will be, but you're on our side........the polls all said so.

Ted Baar | September 11, 2007 12:05 AM link

Well, the govenor's attempts to blame everyone but his own incompetance have finally come home. BiG Audit, big scam. Friends to big business with ridiculas contracts, and giving the top job for lawyers in the state to someone who hasnt practiced law in 12 years is haunting the governor now. Can you say lame duck...

Joe | September 11, 2007 7:23 AM link

As a conservative in this state I have to echo Joe's sentiments that Carcieri has been a big fraud from day one. He's accomplished less than Almond and at least Almond had the excuse that he was asleep on the couch through most of his tenure in office. We'll never get a two-party system in this state as long as people like Don and Gio continue to demonstrate that the alternative to Democrats is "DUH".

Greg | September 11, 2007 12:11 PM link

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