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June 21, 2006
RIC poll: Top races, casino vote -- all close calls
PROVIDENCE -- Call 2006 the year of unpredictable elections: A Rhode Island College public opinion survey released today shows very close state races for governor, U.S. Senate and the referendum that would allow the Narragansett Indians to build a West Warwick casino in partnership with Harrah's Entertainment.
Among the findings of the poll, conducted by veteran RIC political science professor and pollster Victor Profughi:
*The governor's race between Democratic Lt. Gov. Charles Fogarty and Republican incumbent Governor Carcieri, the likely GOP nominee, is a statistical dead heat.
*In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Lincoln Chafee and the Democratic favorite, former attorney general Sheldon Whitehouse, are locked in a virtual tie. But if Cranston Mayor Stephen Laffey, Chafee's GOP primary challenger wins the nomination, he would be defeated by nearly 2 to 1 by Whitehouse.
Profughi plans to release a GOP Senate primary sample tomorrow that will show the Laffey-Chafee contest close, with a low turnout benefitting Laffey and a larger voter turnout working to Chafee's advantage.
*On the casino issue, voters are evenly divided on the proposed constitutional amendment that would allow Harrah's, the casino giant, to operate a West Warwick casino in association with the Narragansetts. But the same poll shows that voters prefer competitive bidding over giving the Narragansett tribe and their partners a non-bid casino license.
* Voters are also overwhelmingly against the legislation favored by House leaders and Carcieri that cuts taxes for Rhode Island's wealthiest residents. Sixty-seven percent are against the cut, 25 percent support it and 8 percent are undecided.
-- Journal staff writer Scott MacKay
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