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April 2009
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Recently in Polls CategoryThe second in a series of polls by a Tennessee polling firm, Public Policy Polling, revealed Lt. Gov David Dewhurst and AG Greg Abbott have the edge on Democrats Bill White and John Sharp in a faceoff for US Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison's seat. The poll is based on a few suppositions, namely, that Hutchison's seat would come open and that Dewhurst would run for it. In the imaginary matchups, Dewhurst leads White by 42% to 37%, and beats out sharp 42% to 36%. Dewhurst said he doesn't want to talk hypotheti... A statewide poll conducted by Austin-based polling company Baselice and Associates shows 75% of Texas voters favor allowing slot machines at racetracks and Indian casinos. 23% were against. The survey of 1006 Texas voters was conducted between February 7-11, 2009 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1%. "Our breadth of support cuts across all lines of gender, race and party," said Tommy Azapardi, Executive Director of Texans for Economic Development, in a statement. Legislation allowing a statewide vote on a racino proposal is expected to be filed shortly. >> Continue reading: Poll: 75% of Texans Favor Slot Machines at Racetracks A new poll out by the Texas Politics Project at UT shows that McCain leads Obama among Texas likely voters by a 50% to 41% margin. But 23% of respondents believe Obama - a Protestant - is Muslim. Senator John Cornyn holds a nine-point lead over Democratic challenger Rick Noriega, at 45% to 36%. The poll surveyed 550 registered voters in Texas Oct. 15-22 over the internet, (which has been a source of some criticism.) It has a margin of error of 4.2 percent. ...Okay we are going to break the PJ policy and do a poll post because I did a TV story about a Rasmussen poll a month ago showing Democrat Rick Noriega only four points behind Senator John Cornyn, and now the same poll shows something totally different. The latest version of the same poll has Cornyn clobbering Noriega, 52% to 35%. (Note: Cornyn breaks 50%... something we haven't seen much yet.) For his part, ... U.S. Senate candidate and Texas National Guardsman Rick Noriega reported for duty today with the 1-141 Infantry Battalion. He's going to be away for two weeks, but will get a short leave in order to attend the upcoming state Democratic convention. Meanwhile, Bush-bashing New York Times columnist Frank Rich dropped Noriega's name in his Sunday column. There are other signs of Iraq's durable political lethality as well. Looking for a bright spot in their loss of three once-safe House seats in special elect... Research 2000 is polling US Senate races for progressive blog DailyKos. The Noriega campaign says when it's released, it will reflect this week's Rasmussen poll, which showed Noriega within striking distance of Cornyn. Look for that on DailyKos in about an hour, hour and a half. ...CNN's Texas exit polling shows this: African-Americans: Obama 83%, Clinton 16% These numbers are consistent with our polling from the last week. But in Texas, the Latino population outnumbers the African American population two, sometimes three to one, depending on the Senate district. So, while there are MORE African Americans who support Obama than there are Latinos who support Hillary, what percentage of tonight's electorate will these two groups actually represent? If Hispanic turnout... It's GOTV time. The race is still just as tight as it has been all week. Clinton is up 46% to 45%, still a statistical dead heat. "Texas is a must-win for Clinton," writes pollster David Ianelli of Public Strategies. "She not only needs to win here to turn the tide after several consecutive losses, she needs to win convincingly to cut into Obama's national lead in delegates." Changes within geographic regions say a lot more about what's happening here.
It's night five of the Belo Texas tracking poll, and the race is still within the margin of error, as it has been all week. It's now tied up, 46% Obama, 46% Clinton. Pollsters say the race will be decided on the strength of turnout by Blacks and Hispanics, whose loyalties are divided. "Taking a look at the largest voting blocks where the candidates had their biggest respective leads, we confi... Friday's results from Belo's Texas tracking poll show the Democratic race still deadlocked. Hillary Clinton wins back her one point lead on Friday, now up on Barack Obama 46% to 45%. Results from all four nights of tracking have been within the 4 point margin of error. Pollster David Ianelli: The seesaw battle for a one point lead over the past couple of days underscores the critical importance for both campaigns of mobilizing their supporters and getting people out to the polls next Tuesday. One thing is clear however -- Hillary Clinton will not come out of the Texas primary with the share of T... |
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Elise Hu is KVUE's Political Reporter and your dedicated blogger. There's too much politics in Texas to fit into a newscast, so the fun continues here. Email your ideas and feedback to ehu@kvue.com.
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