March 3, 2008

Belo Tracking Poll, Day Six

It's GOTV time. The race is still just as tight as it has been all week. Clinton is up 46% to 45%, still a statistical dead heat.

"Texas is a must-win for Clinton," writes pollster David Ianelli of Public Strategies. "She not only needs to win here to turn the tide after several consecutive losses, she needs to win convincingly to cut into Obama's national lead in delegates."

Changes within geographic regions say a lot more about what's happening here.

day6breakdown.JPG

Compared to our chart from a few nights ago, there's mixed news for each candidate. Clinton has cut into Obama's lead in the DFW region, and has overtaken his lead in San Antonio. Previously, Obama has lead by at least 19 points in San Antonio, now Clinton is faring five points better in the area.

On the flip side, Obama has cut Clinton's lead in South Texas down to ten points, from Clinton's 20 point gap last week. He has also grown his lead in the delegate-rich Senate districts in Houston. His lead there is 17 points, up from between 8-13 points before.

See the poll here.

 

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Elise Hu is KVUE's Political Reporter and, now, your dedicated blogger.

Email your ideas and feedback to ehu@kvue.com.

Click here to read more about Elise.




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