Props to Slate's Chadwick Matlin, who began his liveblogging this evening with the question, "What if Obama loses?" Here's what "Trailhead" says. (I love number five. So true about Chris Matthews.)

1. Obama is only sort of screwed. The culinary union in Nevada will probably still endorse him tomorrow, and his colleagues in the Senate will probably still come out publicly in support. Plus, black voters in South Carolina will probably still vote, and probably vote for Obama. Note the number of times I had to use probably. All of a sudden, the falling dominoes that once seemed like a sure thing aren't nearly as wobbly.

2. Clinton is still sort of screwed. Clinton is still going to have a hard time competing in Nevada and South Carolina... It gets easier, but it's not a done deal.

3. Mitt Romney and John Edwards are definitely screwed.

4. Crying will be the new nuclear option. If Hillary wins, then the press will need to attribute the shocking outcome to anything concrete they can get their hands on. They'll turn to 2008's water works. "The Diner Sob" will become legendary. (NOTE FROM ELISE: This is already evident in what analysts are saying tonight).

5. The press will have a meltdown. Chris Matthews will have to find a way to one-up his grandiose claims of what would happen if Obama won Iowa. Plus, he'll have to start being even more "obsessed" with Hillary.

1 Comments

Jim said:

Great job last night. You must REALLY like politics.

And change.

Like this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m8nU-q5YPRQ

January 9, 2008 9:01 AM

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