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4Warn Weather BLOG |
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March 2008
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September 2007 ArchivesMan those skies are blue today! I'm checking out the beautiful day through one of our skycams from the confines of my windowless storm center. And what's the deal with a weather guy not having windows in his office? Bryce, our web guy, has this great view of the Arch from his office and I've got a crummy skycam. Oh well, it is what it is. Anyway, the clear skies today are caused in large part from a big area of high pressure (those ... I know I'm getting old (51 next month). But having grown up here, and slipped my way through more than my share of snow and ice, I'd just as soon keep the warm temperatures around for as long as possible. Yes I love Autumn--dry air, chilly nights and of course the color. Nothing beats a round of golf in a sweater and comfy Dockers. And my favorite sport, motocross, is at it's best in the Fall. The ground holds the moisture and with all the gea... Since the beginning of the Summer we are almost 4 inches behind a normal rainfall pace. The most severe drought is over southeastern Missouri and southern Illinois. If you've checked the 5 day forecast you know that there is a chance of a few thunderstorms on Sunday. This does not look to be a very potent system though so rainfall may be limited. The good news is that the medium range precipitation forecast from the Climate Prediction Center i... Here's an update for you on the severe weather threat. Below is today and tonight's severe weather risk. This is a graphic made by the Storm Prediction Center, the same people who issue watches (warnings are issued by our local national weather service office). Last night the slight risk area, outlined in green, included the Metro East and much of our viewing area in Illinois. Now the threat has been pushed farther to the Northeast.... Autumn started Sunday morning, but our high temperature at Lambert Sunday hit a very summer-like 93. In fact, it was one degree away from the record high of 94 set back in 1891. So, if it's officially Fall then when will the Fall-like temperatures arrive? Well, we do have a cold front that will usher in some cooler temperatures late this week. The front is expected to move through by Wednesday morning, giving us highs in the mid to ... The Autumnal Equinox will occur this Sunday at 4:51 AM marking the beginning of Fall. Equionx means "Equal night" as the day and night are about the same, about 12 hours each. An equinox occurs when the sun is directly above the equator, as you can see in the picture below. Throughout the summer the sun's most direct ray's hit the Northern Hemisphere, ranging between the equator and the Tropic of Cancer (23.5 N). In fact, it's the ... Kent and I have been watching something interesting in the medium range computer models. A disturbance near Florida will head for St. Louis, or at least close enough to our area to give us a rain chance by early next week. Below is a map of the latest possible path of this disturbance. Each colored line represents a different model's forecast path of this disturbance. Right now it is not strong enough to be called a tropical depres... Hold on! Wait a second! What happened to that great Fall weather from this weekend? That's what I was thinking, especially since I love the cooler Fall days. But We will be ranging from 85-90 at least through the weekend. All in all, those aren't horrible numbers. But I was wondering how late in the season we've had a 90 or even 100 degree day. So, I did some digging in the climate files for St. Louis and here's what I found: If you've already taken a peek at my 5 day forecast you know that temperatures through the weekend are expected to be well above normal. Now take a look at the two maps I have posted below. The Climate Prediction Center's 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day outlooks are remarkably similar. Each shows that there is a strong indication that temperatures east of the Continental Divide will, for the most part, remain well above normal into October. >> Continue reading: Warm Days Ahead
What an incredible weekend! Let's review some of the stats... Saturday Sunday There hasn't been a high temperature in St. Louis cooler than Saturday's 65 since April 19th of this year, when we hit a high of only 62. In other words, it had been about five months since we'd seen temperatures as cool as those of the p... Well, we said in the blog last night that we didn't think Humberto would strengthen to a hurricane...and of course just to spite me, it did. Actually, that made Humberto the fastest intensifying hurricane nearest landfall. It strengthened from a tropical depression to a hurricane in a little over half a day while only 60 miles from the Texas coast. Also, Humberto was the first hurricane to hit the US since Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Kent an... August, September and October are historically the busiest months for tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic. And not half way into September we now have our 8th named storm of the season, Tropical Storm Humberto formed today off the Texas coast. Humberto is not expected to become a hurricane because it will lose energy as it moves onshore over Eastern Texas and then moves into Western and Central Louisiana. Maximum sustained winds ... We're more than 10 days away from the official end of summer. Despite what the seasonal calendar might tell us, this week's parade of cold fronts, marching across our area, has many wondering if the hot and humid days of summer are a thing of the past. As a huge fan of the Autumn season in Missouri and Illinois, I, like many of you no doubt, would love to think that the sweaty and oppressive days of summer are behind us. But, let's n... We managed to take a big bite out of our rainfall deficit last week, and even into the weekend. After several days of rain and occasional thunderstorms across our area, green has returned to many local lawns. Unfortunately, for those with agricultural interests, this rain came a bit too late to do much good for certain crops still in the ground. The multiple days of on-and-off rain, heavy at times, resulted in some impressive rainfal... Steve here, and the latest forecast has some cool temperatures arriving by the weekend. A strong push of cold air should clip our area Saturday before temperatures rebound a bit. But with a low in the low 50s Saturday morning, I wondered how long it's a been since we've been that cool? In fact, the last time it was that cool was May 19th. That's almost 4 months ago! Highs should rebound into the low 70s, about 10 degrees bel... ***Update to this blog, the National Weather Service did report a brief touchdown 4 miles East Northeast of Jerseyville, IL. From the weather service report this was seen by a trained spotter. I haven't seen any other reports on this as the damage seems limited to some trees in the areas. ************* From Thursday's three tornado warnings we have only 1 spotted tornadoes at this point. So, why did we spend so much time interruptin... Just as Kent's blog below describes, it's likely most of us will see some rain Thursday and Friday. And as I check out the latest drought monitor, it's much needed. Below is a map I took from the US Drought Monitor web site, and I'll provide the link below as well. You'll see that the entire News4 viewing area is in a moderate drought (beige) and the Southern portion of our viewing area (both Missouri and Illinois) is in a severe dro... Tropical moisture continues to increase across our area. A few spotty showers and thunderstorms broke out mainly south and west of St. Louis this afternoon. More widespread rainfall is expected beginning Wednesday with the best rain chance on Thursday and Friday. Here's a look at the latest drought outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.
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