Author (#1509)February 2008 Archives
8:44 PM Tue, Feb 05, 2008 | Permalink
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It's clear neither Obama nor Clinton will have wrapped up the nomination tonight. In truth, nobody really expected either one would -- they both have too much support and too much money and the Democrats' proportional assignment of delegates means neither one can land a knockout blow tonight.
So, what's left? Well, there's the Beltway Primary next week (Maryland, Virginia, D.C.). But that should be pretty split, too. So that leaves ONLY Texas and Ohio as having any significant number of delegates still at state (until Pennsylvania in mid-April). You can bet you'll see hundreds of ground troops (paid staffer...
7:17 PM Tue, Feb 05, 2008 | Permalink
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I disagree with the tiele "Huckabee Wins West Virginia." Sure, he got the delegates, but the real winner there was McCain. By joining forecs with the Huckabee folks, McCain was able to deprive Romney of those delegates. Remember, Romney was in the lead after round 1 of the voting at that convention. So McCain kept Romney from getting those delegates by giving them to Huckabee, where they can't do McCain any real harm. Huckabee didn't win -- McCain did, but keeping those delegates from Romney, the candidate who really had the most votes in the state (at least among all three Republican candidates).
Gerry Bir...
7:07 PM Tue, Feb 05, 2008 | Permalink
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It's still early, but I don't see any surprises yet. Obama's win in Georgia was more decisive than expected but that only confirms that we're going to have a real, live contested Democratic presidential primary in Texas on March 4.
An important historical observation: anybody who is less than 78 years old has never had the chance before this year to vote in a presidentail election that didn't have an incumbent president or vice president on the ballot seeking the presidency (last time was 1952 -- Eisenhower versus Stevenson). That's really quite significant. Ordinarily elections are about the inhabitants of...
5:35 PM Tue, Feb 05, 2008 | Permalink
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I don't believe it is accurate to say that "all" of the Republican primaries are "winner take all." Several (like New York and West Virginia) are, but others (most notably, California) are not -- they are awarded by whomever wins a congressional district, not winner take all for the state. Massachussets is another state where Republican delegates are awarded proportionately, not "winner take all."
Now, on the Democratic side, all contests are proportional and none are "winner take all."
And don't forget the so-called "super delegates." They could be decisive -- especially in the Democratic contest.<...
