« December 2005 | Main | February 2006 »

January 25, 2006

Here We Go Again

Don't ya just love Oregon in the January! One day it's sunny with temperatures in the 70's the next it's cloudy, rainy and snow is on the way to the mountains. Tuesday Newport, Seaside & Tillamook all top out at 70 degrees or above! In Tillamook it was the warmest temperature ever recorded for a January day.

Don't go rushing to the beach today, expecting more of the same. The first in a series of storms is moving ashore beginning today. 70+ degrees are being replaced by mid-40's. The blue sky and sunshine, with clouds and liquid sunshine (rain).

With the approaching storms we'll start to see increasing high clouds in The Rose City later today. Rain will fall out of the clouds and wet weather will continue for the near term. Good News, even with the rain coming back it won't be like the past few weeks. I don't see any of the approaching storms bringing enough rain ashore to push rivers into flood stage!

Dave

dsalesky@kgw.com

January 20, 2006

Emerging From The Gloom

Portland, is emerging from the gloom of winter. When the sun sets this afternoon at 5pm it will be the first time since October 30th, the sun has gone down at 5 o'clock or later. We'll have 9 hours and 16 minutes of daylight today.

Portland is also coming out of the dunk tank! 32 of the last 31 days have been wet. Rivers running above bankfull, hillsides are saturated and sliding. Beginning late Saturday and continuing through early next week Portland, and most areas west of The Cascades will be dry. It'll be the longest dry spell in nearly 6 weeks.

My weekend recomendations, get outside and enjoy the break because there's still another 2 months left of winter.

Regards
Dave
dsalesky@kgw.com

January 18, 2006

That Wasn't A Shower....That Was RAIN!

If I had a dollar for everytime I've heard the title of this blog...well, I wouldn't be writing this thing. Let's just say I'd be on an island somewhere enjoying my sunny retirement, ha-ha-ha!

Seriously though, both showers and rain are wet, right? So how the heck do you tell the difference? It is confusing and people ask me all the time about what the difference is. Well, here are some rules of thumb:

Both rain and showers can be very light....or very heavy. Just because cats and dogs are flying past your window does not necessarily mean it's rain. It might be a heavy shower. And that's the thing that seems most confusing.

In general then...showers are intermittent. On again, off again. It's pouring one minute but the next nothing is falling from the sky. On showery days, this is usually repeated over and over as each line of showers moves by where you are. And sometimes, there are sun breaks in-between these downpours. That's designed to fool you into thinking it's safe to go on a long walk without any rain gear!

We most often see showers after a storm has moved out of our area....because cooler air in its wake helps trigger these on and off showers.

Rain: This is created by a specific storm that is crossing our skies. You can usually identify something as rain because it's continuous (or nearly so) and skies stay cloudy the whole time the storm is moving through. Think of the days in the last week that we've had these all day wet situations...that was rain. Usually storms move faster though, so we might see a few hours of continuous rain from it.

So hopefully that explains the difference without creating more confusion. Just remember: continuous=rain. On and off=showers. That's a pretty good rule of thumb.

Oh, one last thing: enjoy today's showers and downpours. But don't get fooled by the sun breaks--there's probably another shower on the way!

Bruce Sussman

January 17, 2006

Willamette (Willa-muddy) River

Look at the picture of the Willamette River this morning. It continues to run above bankful, at over 62 feet above the Oregon City Falls. The color remains a medium chocolate color.

wellsfargo.jpg

This morning the Willamette was running at 138,655 cubic feet per second! That's a lot of water. Yes it's down from late last week but the river is still running about 72% percent of flood stage. Don't expect the Willamette or any other river to drop anytime soon. I don't see us breaking out of this pattern anytime in the near future.

The CPC ( Climate Prediction Center) The Oregon State Climatology Office continue to predict above normal precipitation across the Northwest. A couple of estimate have precipitation running about 150-200 percent of normal for the rest of the winter. If that actually happens it would be a lot less than what we're seeing now, which about 300% above normal.

January 12, 2006

Cloud Juice? Or Is It Liquid Sunshine?

I'm so sick of saying the word rain (ha-ha-ha) that I went to Dictionary.com and looked up synonyms for the word. They include the following:

"cloud juice" (I like it!)

"cat-and-dog weather" (not bad)

"window washer" (so true)

"wet stuff"

and the always popular, but boring, "liquid sunshine."

What I'm wondering is...have you heard others? I'm taking suggestions and would appreciate yours, so I don't have to say 'rain' every single second of every forecast! My email is

bsussman@kgw.com

So please send your suggestions my way. Have a good one,

Bruce Sussman

January 11, 2006

It's coming back!!!!

Just like your relatives who come and stay to long for the holidays rain is returning, and it's going to be back for a while. My loving spouse Sandy, pointed out It's sad when you count the dry periods in hours! How true.

The next storm is already being picked up on the 4km. satellite images. Rain will start light then get heavier as the day goes on. The warm front arriving will push snow levels up to around 5000ft. Snow that's below that elevation will melt and that means more trouble for the rivers.

IR4.gif

QPF ( quanitative precipitation forecasts) estimates were looking at another 1" to 3" of rain through Friday. Yikes! Long term I don't see any changes wet weather at least through Friday of next week. On a historical note. On January 17th 2005, just about one year ago, Portland was begging for rain. It was sunny and we were seeing record high temperatures in the 60's.

Stay dry
Dave

dsalesky@kgw.com

January 10, 2006

Ark Building 101

it just might be 40 days and 40 nights of rain... 23 of the last 24 days now with rain or rain showers. I expect rain will continue through early Wednesday the we should catch a bit of a break. Not just rain but record rain in Portland 1.35" as of 7pm. That's a new 24 hour record. Today's high 57 degrees also goes into the books tying a record set 61 years ago.

Lee's camp in The Coast Range has nearly been washed away, they've picked up 6.50" of rain in 24hrs. Now for some good news. I think the rain will let up a bit on Wednesday. I won't be completely dry but instead of steady preciptiation we're looking at showers. That should help the rivers drop back into there banks. The break is going to be short lived, we're back under the gun again Thursday!

Talk about a 180 degree swing, last year at this time is was dry, sunny and warm, high's were in the 60's! Talk was about the "D" word. Not downpour but drought...

January 9, 2006

The Best $4.99, ever!

You ever been driving in the rain when you just can't see out the windshield...no matter how fast the wipers are going? Well, that's been me lately. And the wipers are fairly new, too so I didn't need to blow more money on those.
But I needed to do something. So after last night's newscast, where I forecast two non-stop days of rain, I hit the grocery store and bought some RainX.

Have you heard of this stuff...or used it? Honestly, it might be the best $4.99 I've ever spent.

Because I drove to work in the pouring rain, even past big trucks, with my windshield wipers OFF...and I could see everything right out the window! The rain beads up...and then the wind just blows the raindrops right off the windshield, giving you a clear view of what's going on.

All I had to do was wipe the RainX onto the outside of my windshield, wait for it to cloud up...then wipe it off. And presto...I can now see when I'm driving in the rain. Which is like, everyday. In fact it's rained 22 of the last 23 days around the Willamette Valley. Should've spent my $4.99 a little sooner!

Bruce Sussman
bsussman@kgw.com

January 6, 2006

Brad Can I Borrow The Boat?

Brad's my brother inlaw, big time fisherman big time jet boat owner. If it keeps raining like this I may need his boat to get around. Like trying to find a parking spot at the mall during Christmas, storms are backed up across the Pacific waiting to drop rain on the Pacific Northwest. I'm wrting this note around 10:30 Friday morning, since midnight we've seen over .75" of rain. More rain is on the way today and for the weekend. The QPF(Quanitative Precipitation Forecast) is estimating some locals may get over 2" of precip this weekend

d12_fill.gif

With rain like that on the way I'll be keeping a close eye on area rivers this weekend. Right now rivers are staying inside there banks, but they will be rising. Some of the "usual suspects". The Tualitin, Pudding and Mary's rivers may get near bankfull during the weekend.


dllo3.gif

Rain on the valley floor will turn to snow in the mountains above 3000ft this weekend. Several inches of snow will fall this weekend. This pattern shows no sign of changing. I expect rain or rain showers, heavy at times to continue through the middle of next week, if not longer!

Stay dry and safe this weekend
Dave
dsalesky@kgw.com


January 5, 2006

What's up

I've been out of the weather center the last couple of weeks. I'm just sitting down and reading some emails.First thanks to all of you who read this blog. I often wonder if I'm just typing to myself. A couple of you pointed out the blog was not updated while I was gone, sorry. It's been kind of interesting around here with everybody trying to get time off during the holidays. I'll make a belated New Years Resolution to keep the blog updated more.

On a weather note, for all of you who got new ski gear for Christmas, this could be your weekend. Several storms are headed our way over the next few days and will bring plenty of snow to the mountains. between now and Sunday I think at least another 18" of snow will fall. much of it at lower elevations 2000-3000ft. Skiing this weekend could be fantastic even at lower level runs like Ski Bowl. Personally when snow conditions are right the slopes off Highway 26 have some of the best skiing around.

Just remember if you're headed to the hills this weekend, make sure you've got snow tires and chains ready for use. Get ready for the freshies... ( skier talk)

Dave

Advertisement