October 2006 Archives
7:53 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Both candidates did great. The real winner is the Oregon voter. Ron was very effective at making this debate about Ted's record and leadership. Ted made some ground on Ron's credibility. Will the national political mood have an impact? Will Ted run some hard hitting ads? Will Ron have enough money to finish strong.-Tim
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7:51 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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Governor -- attempt to characterize Ron as someone who supports "corporate elite" while the Governor wants to be identified with the broad middle of Oregonians -- really an appeal to the voter on grounds of: Do you really trust my opponent to be on your side...
Ron Saxton wants the voter to be reminded of the "need for a change"...the debate ends where it started - Ron Saxton wants to convert voter dissatisfaction and desire to change wi...
7:49 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ted should push back on Ron with this topic, with his tax cut (measure 41) and the impact on services. Ted did not captialize on the opportunity.-Tim
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7:48 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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This is really an area of strength for Ron and he comes across with credibility in this area....
Len B
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7:45 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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Major tap dance...
Len B
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7:44 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ron-no new taxes but expect the legislature to get one from these guys.
Ted- Beer and Wine industry has been much stronger for Ron than Ted
Tim
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7:41 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ron looks and sounds good on the vision thing. Ted is showing more of a populist bent which resonates in a progressive state. Not sure about the action plan again.-Tim
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7:39 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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This is really the core of the Saxton message -- "no spending discipline" -- but wham!! The governor closes in on Ron's experience during his service on the School Board.
Wow - "rhetoric does not match experience" is the strongest punch the Governor has landed so far and goes to the core of the challenge Ron has -- to assure people that they really know where Ron stands and how he will lead the State...
Action Plan? not much of ...
7:38 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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These are smaller government initiatives designed to starve the beast "state government". 48 has some real problems and both candidates oppose this issue. 41-is a tax cut that Ron supports and Ted does not.
Ron walked into the school board trap and allowed Ted to make a hit. - Tim
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7:35 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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How do we make government work...I know the action plan is a good prop, but it didn't deflect the core of the question on the conservative turn of the campaign Saxton has run...and it was a missed opportunity for the Governor, not to try and challenge Ron to defend the campaign he is run to the conservative part of the spectrum...
Len B
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7:32 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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Impressive run by the Gov on how the Special Session disproves that he has been dis-engaged...so Ron S comes back and tries to tag Governor with lack of leadership and scores points...
Len B
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7:32 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ron must walk carefully through this issue. Pulling out the action plan is a good block and bridge to another topic.
Ted has more political freedom to answer the question with specifics. Much harder for Ron-Tim
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7:29 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Both are disgusted with the conduct and again Ron is back on Ted.-Tim
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7:29 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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"Culture of corruption" is a growing issue and may influence the way some peope vote -- nationally the issue of ethics and corruption is cutting against Republicans...this exchange seemed to be a toss-up
LenB
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7:26 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ted needs to continue to talk about the ground he has made up during the last four years. It's effective and counters the "bad job" debate. Again, Ron is making it about Ted's leadership.-Tim
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7:26 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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I am impressed that when the Governor stops to smile and show some personality he really attracts and holds the viewer's attention -- it's his strong suit...Ron makes it very difficult for the viewer to be attracted to him and then pay attention to what he is saying
Len B
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7:24 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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The more Govenor K can talk about his support of policies that protect the middle income taxpayer...the more he is in the sweet-spot for his vote...I am not certain I see Ron S with a clear message for his "sweet-spot"
Len B
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7:24 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ron in effect wants to achieve reforms in collective bargaining. Public employees are a huge voter block and this should be an area that Ted hits Ron hard on. Again Ron comes back to Ted's record. - Tim
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7:21 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Ted and Ron are on the same page on this issue..-Tim
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7:20 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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Issue puts Ron on the defensive -- a place he can't stay if he wants to win the debate/election...
Len B
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7:18 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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This issue won't stick unless Ted spends some money on TV about this issue. Ron is again pivoting it back on Ted. This is too complicated for the voters to easily understand. -Tim
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7:16 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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DHS is a public eye sore from a political perspective. Won't be a big campaign issue. However, Ted is hitting Ron hard again about the truth-Tim
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7:16 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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Interesting exchange -- this is an area of strength for Gov T even as it has cost him in fundraising on the campaign trail...Ron has to avoid a prolonged debate on this issue -- the idea of a West Coast alliance between the Governors of Washington, California [one a Republican one a Democrat] is really a strong area for Gov....
Len B
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6:58 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Teresa Bell
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If Ron can establish that the Governor doesn't really have a plan B, he scores points on the issue of "competence"...but so far the Governor has been stronger in his presentation of his ability to get the legislature to act in the future -- and the more this is about the future, the more the Gov wins because he is more credible in dealing with the machinery of state government...
Len
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6:52 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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Remember Ron gets money from the Auto Dealers and puts the burden of this issue on the Feds. This is stronger ground for Ted and a good opportunity to show his leadership. Ted is taking advantage on this question and putting it to Ron. Ron should move on-Tim
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6:33 PM Tue, Oct 17, 2006 | Permalink
Frank Mungeam
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The final debate between the Republican and Democratic candidates for Governor takes place at KGW Television studios Tuesday, October 17th - live from 7 to 8 p.m.
Political consultants Len Bergstein and Tim Phillips will be watching the debate unfold and will post their analysis of how the candidates fared here on kgw.com.
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